MLB and MLBPA launched formal CBA negotiations this week in New York, six months before the current collective bargaining agreement expires on Dec. 1, but trader consensus tilts toward no new deal at 58% implied probability amid entrenched divides. Owners are poised to propose a salary cap to address payroll disparities—highlighted by the Dodgers' massive spending—alongside tweaks to revenue sharing, international draft, and arbitration, while the union staunchly opposes caps and has amassed a $415 million war chest for protracted talks. Historical precedent from the 99-day 2022 lockout underscores the acrimonious path ahead, positioning "No" as the crowd wisdom on an early, contentious process.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB and MLBPA launched formal CBA negotiations this week in New York, six months before the current collective bargaining agreement expires on Dec. 1, but trader consensus tilts toward no new deal at 58% implied probability amid entrenched divides. Owners are poised to propose a salary cap to address payroll disparities—highlighted by the Dodgers' massive spending—alongside tweaks to revenue sharing, international draft, and arbitration, while the union staunchly opposes caps and has amassed a $415 million war chest for protracted talks. Historical precedent from the 99-day 2022 lockout underscores the acrimonious path ahead, positioning "No" as the crowd wisdom on an early, contentious process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$6,183结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB and MLBPA launched formal CBA negotiations this week in New York, six months before the current collective bargaining agreement expires on Dec. 1, but trader consensus tilts toward no new deal at 58% implied probability amid entrenched divides. Owners are poised to propose a salary cap to address payroll disparities—highlighted by the Dodgers' massive spending—alongside tweaks to revenue sharing, international draft, and arbitration, while the union staunchly opposes caps and has amassed a $415 million war chest for protracted talks. Historical precedent from the 99-day 2022 lockout underscores the acrimonious path ahead, positioning "No" as the crowd wisdom on an early, contentious process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,183结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...MLB and MLBPA launched formal CBA negotiations this week in New York, six months before the current collective bargaining agreement expires on Dec. 1, but trader consensus tilts toward no new deal at 58% implied probability amid entrenched divides. Owners are poised to propose a salary cap to address payroll disparities—highlighted by the Dodgers' massive spending—alongside tweaks to revenue sharing, international draft, and arbitration, while the union staunchly opposes caps and has amassed a $415 million war chest for protracted talks. Historical precedent from the 99-day 2022 lockout underscores the acrimonious path ahead, positioning "No" as the crowd wisdom on an early, contentious process.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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