Romania's constitutional framework requires a parliamentary majority to suspend the president followed by a national referendum, creating significant procedural barriers that have kept removal odds low despite the ongoing political crisis. Nicușor Dan, who took office in May 2025 after defeating a far-right challenger, has continued mediating stalled government formation efforts into September 2026, including his latest prime ministerial nomination amid coalition breakdowns and no-confidence votes. Traders' strong consensus on the "no" outcome reflects the absence of any viable impeachment coalition or scheduled referendum, alongside historical precedent against snap presidential exits. Late-year developments such as a successful opposition parliamentary push, voluntary resignation amid prolonged deadlock, or major legal challenges could still alter the trajectory before December 31.