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Politics·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

icon for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Politics·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

UNRWA 11.1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.4%

Donald Trump 8%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Polymarket

$21,377,653 交易量

UNRWA 11.1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.4%

Donald Trump 8%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Polymarket

$21,377,653 交易量

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,008,292 交易量

11%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$578,968 交易量

9%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$3,731,920 交易量

8%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$207,140 交易量

7%

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$774,041 交易量

5%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$666,401 交易量

4%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$635,552 交易量

2%

icon for International Court of Justice

International Court of Justice

$854,622 交易量

2%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,397,674 交易量

2%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,373,459 交易量

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$556,004 交易量

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,208,258 交易量

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,108,396 交易量

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,049,334 交易量

1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,177,977 交易量

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$995,631 交易量

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$788,677 交易量

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$786,578 交易量

1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$855,533 交易量

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$623,301 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
交易量
$21,377,653
结束日期
2026-10-10
市场开放时间
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
交易量
$21,377,653
结束日期
2026-10-10
市场开放时间
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 20 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"UNRWA"，概率为 11%，其次是"Volodymyr Zelenskyy"，概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026"已产生 $21.4 million 的总交易量（自Oct 16, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 20 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026"的当前领先者是"UNRWA"，概率为 11%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。紧随其后的结果是"Volodymyr Zelenskyy"，概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。