Skip to main content
icon for Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?

Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?

icon for Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?

Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?

31% 概率
Polymarket

$214,948 交易量

31% 概率
Polymarket

$214,948 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth continues to lead the Department of Defense amid active military operations and congressional oversight on the Iran conflict and the administration’s proposed 2027 defense budget. Recent testimony before House and Senate Appropriations subcommittees, alongside Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine, highlights his central role in addressing force posture, weapons stockpiles, and strategic shifts. Internal personnel changes, including the April dismissal of Navy Secretary John Phelan, reflect ongoing Pentagon restructuring rather than signals of Hegseth’s own departure. With no public statements from President Trump indicating imminent removal and Hegseth actively managing executive priorities through year-end, trader consensus assigns a 69% probability that he remains in the cabinet position beyond December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$214,948
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth continues to lead the Department of Defense amid active military operations and congressional oversight on the Iran conflict and the administration’s proposed 2027 defense budget. Recent testimony before House and Senate Appropriations subcommittees, alongside Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine, highlights his central role in addressing force posture, weapons stockpiles, and strategic shifts. Internal personnel changes, including the April dismissal of Navy Secretary John Phelan, reflect ongoing Pentagon restructuring rather than signals of Hegseth’s own departure. With no public statements from President Trump indicating imminent removal and Hegseth actively managing executive priorities through year-end, trader consensus assigns a 69% probability that he remains in the cabinet position beyond December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$214,948
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"皮特·赫格塞思将在12月31日前不再担任国防部长吗?",概率为 31%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 31¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 31%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?"已产生 $214.9K 的总交易量(自Apr 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?"的当前领先者是"皮特·赫格塞思将在12月31日前不再担任国防部长吗?",概率为 31%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 31%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Pete Hegseth在12月31日前卸任国防部长?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。