Alex Smalley’s two-shot lead entering the final round at Aronimink has shifted trader consensus toward him as the frontrunner in the 2026 PGA Championship, reflecting his strong ball-striking and recent momentum after entering the week as a long shot. Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy remain tightly bunched behind because each posted competitive rounds and hold proven major pedigree that keeps implied probabilities clustered. Scottie Scheffler’s slip after a disappointing third round has lengthened his position, while players such as Cameron Young and Xander Schauffele stay within striking distance due to their consistent recent form and course history. The bunched pricing underscores how quickly leaderboard movement in a major alters market sentiment ahead of Sunday’s decisive round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于亚历克斯·斯莫利 16.8%
乔恩·拉姆 14.4%
卢德维格·阿贝格 13.2%
罗里·麦克罗伊 12.0%
$5,515,593 交易量
$5,515,593 交易量
亚历克斯·斯莫利
17%
乔恩·拉姆
14%
卢德维格·阿贝格
13%
罗里·麦克罗伊
12%
赞德·谢奥菲勒
6%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒
5%
尼克·泰勒
5%
亚伦·赖
4%
帕特里克·里德
3%
马弗里克·麦克尼利
3%
马蒂·施密德
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
贾斯汀·罗斯
2%
李旻宇
2%
松山英树
2%
克里斯托弗·雷坦
1%
华金·涅曼
1%
本·格里芬
1%
卡梅隆·杨
1%
布鲁克斯·科普卡
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
里奇·福勒
1%
大卫·普伊格
1%
巴德·考利
1%
萨姆·伯恩斯
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
布莱恩·哈曼
<1%
安德鲁·诺瓦克
<1%
贾斯汀·托马斯
<1%
金时玧
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
乔丹·斯皮思
<1%
尼科莱·霍伊加德
<1%
帕特里克·坎特利
<1%
杰森·戴
<1%
马特·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
科林·森川
<1%
库尔特·北山玛
<1%
谢恩·劳瑞
<1%
亚历克斯·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
亚历克斯·诺伦
<1%
科里·康纳斯
<1%
萨姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
萨希斯·西加拉
<1%
迈克尔·布伦南
<1%
瑞安·福克斯
<1%
久常凉
<1%
约翰·基弗
<1%
安德鲁·普特南
<1%
萨米·瓦利马基
<1%
丹尼尔·布朗
<1%
泰勒·彭德里斯
<1%
奥尔德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
马特·华莱士
<1%
丹尼尔·伯格
<1%
瑞安·杰拉德
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
达斯汀·约翰逊
<1%
基思·米切尔
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼尔高-彼得森
<1%
约翰·帕里
<1%
埃尔维斯·斯迈利
<1%
克里斯蒂安·贝祖伊登豪特
<1%
亚历克斯·斯莫利 16.8%
乔恩·拉姆 14.4%
卢德维格·阿贝格 13.2%
罗里·麦克罗伊 12.0%
$5,515,593 交易量
$5,515,593 交易量
亚历克斯·斯莫利
17%
乔恩·拉姆
14%
卢德维格·阿贝格
13%
罗里·麦克罗伊
12%
赞德·谢奥菲勒
6%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒
5%
尼克·泰勒
5%
亚伦·赖
4%
帕特里克·里德
3%
马弗里克·麦克尼利
3%
马蒂·施密德
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
贾斯汀·罗斯
2%
李旻宇
2%
松山英树
2%
克里斯托弗·雷坦
1%
华金·涅曼
1%
本·格里芬
1%
卡梅隆·杨
1%
布鲁克斯·科普卡
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
里奇·福勒
1%
大卫·普伊格
1%
巴德·考利
1%
萨姆·伯恩斯
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
布莱恩·哈曼
<1%
安德鲁·诺瓦克
<1%
贾斯汀·托马斯
<1%
金时玧
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
乔丹·斯皮思
<1%
尼科莱·霍伊加德
<1%
帕特里克·坎特利
<1%
杰森·戴
<1%
马特·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
科林·森川
<1%
库尔特·北山玛
<1%
谢恩·劳瑞
<1%
亚历克斯·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
亚历克斯·诺伦
<1%
科里·康纳斯
<1%
萨姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
萨希斯·西加拉
<1%
迈克尔·布伦南
<1%
瑞安·福克斯
<1%
久常凉
<1%
约翰·基弗
<1%
安德鲁·普特南
<1%
萨米·瓦利马基
<1%
丹尼尔·布朗
<1%
泰勒·彭德里斯
<1%
奥尔德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
马特·华莱士
<1%
丹尼尔·伯格
<1%
瑞安·杰拉德
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
达斯汀·约翰逊
<1%
基思·米切尔
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼尔高-彼得森
<1%
约翰·帕里
<1%
埃尔维斯·斯迈利
<1%
克里斯蒂安·贝祖伊登豪特
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alex Smalley’s two-shot lead entering the final round at Aronimink has shifted trader consensus toward him as the frontrunner in the 2026 PGA Championship, reflecting his strong ball-striking and recent momentum after entering the week as a long shot. Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy remain tightly bunched behind because each posted competitive rounds and hold proven major pedigree that keeps implied probabilities clustered. Scottie Scheffler’s slip after a disappointing third round has lengthened his position, while players such as Cameron Young and Xander Schauffele stay within striking distance due to their consistent recent form and course history. The bunched pricing underscores how quickly leaderboard movement in a major alters market sentiment ahead of Sunday’s decisive round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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