Aaron Rai's commanding position atop the 2026 PGA Championship leaderboard at Aronimink Golf Club has driven the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Strong scoring across the opening rounds, including consistent approach play and recent birdie runs on the back nine, has created separation that the market interprets as a decisive edge heading into the final round. Chasers such as Jon Rahm and Matti Schmid remain within striking distance on the leaderboard, but the wisdom of crowds accounts for the slim margins typical in major finishes and Rai's demonstrated ability to hold leads under pressure. Still, scenarios like a late surge from the pack, adverse weather affecting scoring, or an unexpected final-round collapse could realistically shift the outcome before the tournament concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于亚伦·赖 99.1%
马蒂·施密德 <1%
贾斯汀·托马斯 <1%
亚历克斯·斯莫利 <1%
$8,456,385 交易量
$8,456,385 交易量
亚伦·赖
99%
马蒂·施密德
1%
贾斯汀·托马斯
1%
亚历克斯·斯莫利
1%
乔恩·拉姆
<1%
赞德·谢奥菲勒
<1%
卢德维格·阿贝格
<1%
罗里·麦克罗伊
<1%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒
<1%
卡梅隆·杨
<1%
马特·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
布鲁克斯·科普卡
<1%
萨姆·伯恩斯
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
乔丹·斯皮思
<1%
库尔特·北山玛
<1%
马弗里克·麦克尼利
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
<1%
瑞安·福克斯
<1%
安德鲁·诺瓦克
<1%
安德鲁·普特南
<1%
李旻宇
<1%
贾斯汀·罗斯
<1%
里奇·福勒
<1%
尼科莱·霍伊加德
<1%
金时玧
<1%
帕特里克·里德
<1%
松山英树
<1%
克里斯托弗·雷坦
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
本·格里芬
<1%
华金·涅曼
<1%
大卫·普伊格
<1%
布莱恩·哈曼
<1%
泰勒·彭德里斯
<1%
奥尔德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
尼克·泰勒
<1%
丹尼尔·伯格
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
达斯汀·约翰逊
<1%
亚伦·赖 99.1%
马蒂·施密德 <1%
贾斯汀·托马斯 <1%
亚历克斯·斯莫利 <1%
$8,456,385 交易量
$8,456,385 交易量
亚伦·赖
99%
马蒂·施密德
1%
贾斯汀·托马斯
1%
亚历克斯·斯莫利
1%
乔恩·拉姆
<1%
赞德·谢奥菲勒
<1%
卢德维格·阿贝格
<1%
罗里·麦克罗伊
<1%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒
<1%
卡梅隆·杨
<1%
马特·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
布鲁克斯·科普卡
<1%
萨姆·伯恩斯
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
乔丹·斯皮思
<1%
库尔特·北山玛
<1%
马弗里克·麦克尼利
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
<1%
瑞安·福克斯
<1%
安德鲁·诺瓦克
<1%
安德鲁·普特南
<1%
李旻宇
<1%
贾斯汀·罗斯
<1%
里奇·福勒
<1%
尼科莱·霍伊加德
<1%
金时玧
<1%
帕特里克·里德
<1%
松山英树
<1%
克里斯托弗·雷坦
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
本·格里芬
<1%
华金·涅曼
<1%
大卫·普伊格
<1%
布莱恩·哈曼
<1%
泰勒·彭德里斯
<1%
奥尔德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
尼克·泰勒
<1%
丹尼尔·伯格
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
达斯汀·约翰逊
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Rai's commanding position atop the 2026 PGA Championship leaderboard at Aronimink Golf Club has driven the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Strong scoring across the opening rounds, including consistent approach play and recent birdie runs on the back nine, has created separation that the market interprets as a decisive edge heading into the final round. Chasers such as Jon Rahm and Matti Schmid remain within striking distance on the leaderboard, but the wisdom of crowds accounts for the slim margins typical in major finishes and Rai's demonstrated ability to hold leads under pressure. Still, scenarios like a late surge from the pack, adverse weather affecting scoring, or an unexpected final-round collapse could realistically shift the outcome before the tournament concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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