Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于亚伦·赖 99.4%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒 <1%
罗里·麦克罗伊 <1%
卡梅隆·杨 <1%
$8,789,475 交易量
$8,789,475 交易量
2026-05-18
亚伦·赖
99%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒
<1%
罗里·麦克罗伊
<1%
卡梅隆·杨
<1%
乔恩·拉姆
<1%
赞德·谢奥菲勒
<1%
卢德维格·阿贝格
<1%
马特·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
贾斯汀·托马斯
<1%
布鲁克斯·科普卡
<1%
萨姆·伯恩斯
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
乔丹·斯皮思
<1%
库尔特·北山玛
<1%
马弗里克·麦克尼利
<1%
亚历克斯·斯莫利
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
<1%
安德鲁·诺瓦克
<1%
安德鲁·普特南
<1%
李旻宇
<1%
贾斯汀·罗斯
<1%
里奇·福勒
<1%
尼科莱·霍伊加德
<1%
金时玧
<1%
帕特里克·里德
<1%
松山英树
<1%
克里斯托弗·雷坦
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
本·格里芬
<1%
华金·涅曼
<1%
大卫·普伊格
<1%
布莱恩·哈曼
<1%
泰勒·彭德里斯
<1%
奥尔德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
尼克·泰勒
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
达斯汀·约翰逊
<1%
马蒂·施密德
<1%
亚伦·赖 99.4%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒 <1%
罗里·麦克罗伊 <1%
卡梅隆·杨 <1%
$8,789,475 交易量
$8,789,475 交易量
2026-05-18
亚伦·赖
$337,690 交易量
99%
斯科蒂·舍夫勒
$757,459 交易量
<1%
罗里·麦克罗伊
$839,705 交易量
<1%
卡梅隆·杨
$296,075 交易量
<1%
乔恩·拉姆
$783,492 交易量
<1%
赞德·谢奥菲勒
$509,558 交易量
<1%
卢德维格·阿贝格
$306,766 交易量
<1%
马特·菲茨帕特里克
$162,805 交易量
<1%
贾斯汀·托马斯
$184,481 交易量
<1%
布鲁克斯·科普卡
$125,896 交易量
<1%
萨姆·伯恩斯
$54,571 交易量
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$125,271 交易量
<1%
乔丹·斯皮思
$91,722 交易量
<1%
库尔特·北山玛
$134,675 交易量
<1%
马弗里克·麦克尼利
$85,949 交易量
<1%
亚历克斯·斯莫利
$413,641 交易量
<1%
李昊桐
$195,029 交易量
<1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
$146,359 交易量
<1%
安德鲁·诺瓦克
$935 交易量
<1%
安德鲁·普特南
$5,544 交易量
<1%
李旻宇
$164,791 交易量
<1%
贾斯汀·罗斯
$177,264 交易量
<1%
里奇·福勒
$88,039 交易量
<1%
尼科莱·霍伊加德
$66,525 交易量
<1%
金时玧
$61,267 交易量
<1%
帕特里克·里德
$179,933 交易量
<1%
松山英树
$163,763 交易量
<1%
克里斯托弗·雷坦
$132,700 交易量
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
$59,500 交易量
<1%
本·格里芬
$53,171 交易量
<1%
华金·涅曼
$80,009 交易量
<1%
大卫·普伊格
$58,385 交易量
<1%
布莱恩·哈曼
$3,816 交易量
<1%
泰勒·彭德里斯
$1,848 交易量
<1%
奥尔德里奇·波特吉特
$103,305 交易量
<1%
尼克·泰勒
$241,580 交易量
<1%
巴德·考利
$42,600 交易量
<1%
达斯汀·约翰逊
$21,736 交易量
<1%
马蒂·施密德
$277,045 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$8,789,475结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,789,475结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题