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世界·RBA

澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？

icon for 澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？
世界·RBA

澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？

6月 16

8月 11

6月 16

8月 11

无变化 82%

上调 21%

下调 <1%

Polymarket

$25,472 交易量

无变化 82%

上调 21%

下调 <1%

Polymarket

$25,472 交易量

下调

$7,827 交易量

<1%

无变化

$8,800 交易量

82%

上调

$8,845 交易量

21%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent inflation data and the Reserve Bank of Australia's May cash rate hike to 4.35 percent have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Persistent capacity pressures and second-round effects from elevated fuel prices linked to Middle East developments have kept trimmed-mean inflation forecasts above 3 percent through mid-2027, prompting the Board to signal further vigilance while noting that three consecutive tightenings have already tightened financial conditions. Market-implied pricing for the June decision reflects this measured stance, with upcoming CPI and labor-market releases likely to determine whether upside risks justify an additional 25 basis point move or permit a pause to assess transmission.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
交易量
$25,472
结束日期
2026-06-16
市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent inflation data and the Reserve Bank of Australia's May cash rate hike to 4.35 percent have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Persistent capacity pressures and second-round effects from elevated fuel prices linked to Middle East developments have kept trimmed-mean inflation forecasts above 3 percent through mid-2027, prompting the Board to signal further vigilance while noting that three consecutive tightenings have already tightened financial conditions. Market-implied pricing for the June decision reflects this measured stance, with upcoming CPI and labor-market releases likely to determine whether upside risks justify an additional 25 basis point move or permit a pause to assess transmission.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
交易量
$25,472
结束日期
2026-06-16
市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"无变化"，概率为 82%，其次是"上调"，概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 82¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 82%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？"已产生 $25.5K 的总交易量（自Mar 19, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？"的当前领先者是"无变化"，概率为 82%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 82%。紧随其后的结果是"上调"，概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"澳大利亚储备银行6月份的决定？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。