Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid elevated fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions and broadening cost pressures, market pricing now assigns an 81.5 percent implied probability to no change at the June 16 meeting. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings show persistent but moderating pressures, supporting the central bank’s stance of monitoring the economic impact before further tightening. Futures markets reflect this cautious outlook, with the June cash-rate contract implying only a modest chance of another 25-basis-point increase, while a cut remains priced at negligible odds. Analysts note that upcoming inflation prints and any resolution signals from the regional conflict will be key swing factors ahead of the next policy statement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于无变化 82%
上调 21%
下调 <1%
$25,472 交易量
$25,472 交易量
2026-06-16
下调
<1%
无变化
82%
上调
21%
无变化 82%
上调 21%
下调 <1%
$25,472 交易量
$25,472 交易量
2026-06-16
下调
$7,827 交易量
<1%
无变化
$8,800 交易量
82%
上调
$8,845 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid elevated fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions and broadening cost pressures, market pricing now assigns an 81.5 percent implied probability to no change at the June 16 meeting. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings show persistent but moderating pressures, supporting the central bank’s stance of monitoring the economic impact before further tightening. Futures markets reflect this cautious outlook, with the June cash-rate contract implying only a modest chance of another 25-basis-point increase, while a cut remains priced at negligible odds. Analysts note that upcoming inflation prints and any resolution signals from the regional conflict will be key swing factors ahead of the next policy statement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$25,472结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid elevated fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions and broadening cost pressures, market pricing now assigns an 81.5 percent implied probability to no change at the June 16 meeting. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings show persistent but moderating pressures, supporting the central bank’s stance of monitoring the economic impact before further tightening. Futures markets reflect this cautious outlook, with the June cash-rate contract implying only a modest chance of another 25-basis-point increase, while a cut remains priced at negligible odds. Analysts note that upcoming inflation prints and any resolution signals from the regional conflict will be key swing factors ahead of the next policy statement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
交易量
$25,472结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid elevated fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions and broadening cost pressures, market pricing now assigns an 81.5 percent implied probability to no change at the June 16 meeting. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings show persistent but moderating pressures, supporting the central bank’s stance of monitoring the economic impact before further tightening. Futures markets reflect this cautious outlook, with the June cash-rate contract implying only a modest chance of another 25-basis-point increase, while a cut remains priced at negligible odds. Analysts note that upcoming inflation prints and any resolution signals from the regional conflict will be key swing factors ahead of the next policy statement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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