Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remains actively engaged as HHS Secretary, with recent public appearances, agency announcements, and leadership adjustments advancing the administration’s Make America Healthy Again priorities through mid-October 2026. President Trump has repeatedly expressed support, positioning Kennedy as an asset for Republican midterm efforts and granting flexibility on messaging and initiatives. Trader consensus reflected in the 96.7% “No” probability aligns with the absence of any confirmed resignation signals, Senate pressure, or White House moves toward removal in the narrow window before October 31. While abrupt developments such as a major policy rift, health event, or ethics controversy could theoretically prompt an exit, no such catalysts have surfaced in verifiable reporting.