The Democratic Party of Korea's commanding trader consensus at 98% to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3 National Assembly by-elections stems from recent nationwide polls showing the ruling party leading PPP by 15-30 points, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung's high approval amid economic stabilization efforts. PPP remains weakened by the lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk-yeol's 2025 martial law scandal and impeachment, eroding conservative turnout in battleground districts. Concurrent local elections amplify DP momentum in the 12-14 contested seats. Candidate filings began May 14, with no major disruptions; shifts would require a late DP scandal, unified opposition surge, or abrupt legal challenges to results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于韩国共同民主党(DP) 98.0%
国民力量党(PPP) 1.1%
重建韩国党(RKP) <1%
进步党(PP) <1%
$44,032 交易量
$44,032 交易量

国民力量党(PPP)
1%

韩国共同民主党(DP)
98%

重建韩国党(RKP)
<1%

进步党(PP)
<1%

改革党(RP)
<1%
韩国共同民主党(DP) 98.0%
国民力量党(PPP) 1.1%
重建韩国党(RKP) <1%
进步党(PP) <1%
$44,032 交易量
$44,032 交易量

国民力量党(PPP)
1%

韩国共同民主党(DP)
98%

重建韩国党(RKP)
<1%

进步党(PP)
<1%

改革党(RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea's commanding trader consensus at 98% to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3 National Assembly by-elections stems from recent nationwide polls showing the ruling party leading PPP by 15-30 points, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung's high approval amid economic stabilization efforts. PPP remains weakened by the lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk-yeol's 2025 martial law scandal and impeachment, eroding conservative turnout in battleground districts. Concurrent local elections amplify DP momentum in the 12-14 contested seats. Candidate filings began May 14, with no major disruptions; shifts would require a late DP scandal, unified opposition surge, or abrupt legal challenges to results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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