The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections holding a commanding lead in national polls, with approval ratings around 44 percent compared to 17 percent for the opposition People Power Party. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung following his 2025 victory, alongside consistent advantages in key battlegrounds such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate nominations and campaign framing around national normalization have reinforced expectations that the DP will secure the large majority of the 14 to 17 contested National Assembly seats. Traders assign 72.3 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because current polling trends and historical patterns in similar mid-term contests show limited room for late reversals absent major shifts in economic sentiment or turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于10个及以上 66.1%
8-9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,507 交易量
$34,507 交易量
2026-06-03
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
23%
10个及以上
72%
10个及以上 66.1%
8-9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,507 交易量
$34,507 交易量
2026-06-03
0-1
$3,928 交易量
<1%
2-3
$5,328 交易量
<1%
4-5
$3,763 交易量
<1%
6-7
$3,754 交易量
<1%
8-9
$4,373 交易量
23%
10个及以上
$13,360 交易量
72%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections holding a commanding lead in national polls, with approval ratings around 44 percent compared to 17 percent for the opposition People Power Party. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung following his 2025 victory, alongside consistent advantages in key battlegrounds such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate nominations and campaign framing around national normalization have reinforced expectations that the DP will secure the large majority of the 14 to 17 contested National Assembly seats. Traders assign 72.3 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because current polling trends and historical patterns in similar mid-term contests show limited room for late reversals absent major shifts in economic sentiment or turnout.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
交易量
$34,507结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections holding a commanding lead in national polls, with approval ratings around 44 percent compared to 17 percent for the opposition People Power Party. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung following his 2025 victory, alongside consistent advantages in key battlegrounds such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate nominations and campaign framing around national normalization have reinforced expectations that the DP will secure the large majority of the 14 to 17 contested National Assembly seats. Traders assign 72.3 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because current polling trends and historical patterns in similar mid-term contests show limited room for late reversals absent major shifts in economic sentiment or turnout.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
交易量
$34,507结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections holding a commanding lead in national polls, with approval ratings around 44 percent compared to 17 percent for the opposition People Power Party. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung following his 2025 victory, alongside consistent advantages in key battlegrounds such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate nominations and campaign framing around national normalization have reinforced expectations that the DP will secure the large majority of the 14 to 17 contested National Assembly seats. Traders assign 72.3 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because current polling trends and historical patterns in similar mid-term contests show limited room for late reversals absent major shifts in economic sentiment or turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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