Recent post-IPO volatility and multiple share unlock events continue to dominate trader positioning for SpaceX (SPCX) weekly closes, with the stock rebounding above its $135 IPO price to trade near $135–137 as of August 21–22 after Q2 results showed 92% revenue growth to $7.8 billion. Heavy capital expenditures tied to AI infrastructure and Starlink expansion, alongside persistent net losses, sustain elevated valuation multiples near 60x trailing sales while creating ongoing supply pressure from lockups. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 47–50% across bins reflect balanced sentiment between earnings momentum and dilution risks, with upcoming catalysts including further unlock schedules and any macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite likely to determine the Aug 24 week settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$115 49%
$120-$125 48%
$125-$130 48%
$130-$135 48%
<$115
49%
$115-$120
48%
$120-$125
48%
$125-$130
48%
$130-$135
48%
$135-$140
48%
$140-$145
48%
$145-$150
48%
$150-$155
48%
$155-$160
48%
>$160
48%
<$115 49%
$120-$125 48%
$125-$130 48%
$130-$135 48%
<$115
49%
$115-$120
48%
$120-$125
48%
$125-$130
48%
$130-$135
48%
$135-$140
48%
$140-$145
48%
$145-$150
48%
$150-$155
48%
$155-$160
48%
>$160
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Recent post-IPO volatility and multiple share unlock events continue to dominate trader positioning for SpaceX (SPCX) weekly closes, with the stock rebounding above its $135 IPO price to trade near $135–137 as of August 21–22 after Q2 results showed 92% revenue growth to $7.8 billion. Heavy capital expenditures tied to AI infrastructure and Starlink expansion, alongside persistent net losses, sustain elevated valuation multiples near 60x trailing sales while creating ongoing supply pressure from lockups. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 47–50% across bins reflect balanced sentiment between earnings momentum and dilution risks, with upcoming catalysts including further unlock schedules and any macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite likely to determine the Aug 24 week settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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