The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is expected to hold the policy rate at 0%, with market-implied odds reflecting broad trader consensus around stable medium-term inflation near 0.6% for 2026–2027 and anchored expectations within the 0–2% price stability range. Recent data show inflation rising modestly to 0.8% year-over-year in August from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remain subdued and the conditional forecast assumes no rate change through the horizon. This positioning aligns with the SNB’s June decision and communications emphasizing unchanged inflationary pressure alongside willingness to intervene in foreign exchange markets to counter excessive Swiss franc appreciation. Key swing factors that could alter the outlook include sustained commodity shocks pushing inflation expectations above target or a sharper global slowdown requiring further accommodation, though both appear low-probability given current labor market resilience and GDP forecasts around 1% for 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于不变 95.2%
上调25个基点 2.5%
下调25个基点 1.9%
下调50个基点以上 1.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
上调50个基点以上
2%
上调25个基点
2%
不变
95%
下调25个基点
2%
下调50个基点以上
2%
不变 95.2%
上调25个基点 2.5%
下调25个基点 1.9%
下调50个基点以上 1.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
上调50个基点以上
$441 交易量
2%
上调25个基点
$713 交易量
2%
不变
$5,231 交易量
95%
下调25个基点
$361 交易量
2%
下调50个基点以上
$381 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is expected to hold the policy rate at 0%, with market-implied odds reflecting broad trader consensus around stable medium-term inflation near 0.6% for 2026–2027 and anchored expectations within the 0–2% price stability range. Recent data show inflation rising modestly to 0.8% year-over-year in August from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remain subdued and the conditional forecast assumes no rate change through the horizon. This positioning aligns with the SNB’s June decision and communications emphasizing unchanged inflationary pressure alongside willingness to intervene in foreign exchange markets to counter excessive Swiss franc appreciation. Key swing factors that could alter the outlook include sustained commodity shocks pushing inflation expectations above target or a sharper global slowdown requiring further accommodation, though both appear low-probability given current labor market resilience and GDP forecasts around 1% for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
交易量
$7,126结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is expected to hold the policy rate at 0%, with market-implied odds reflecting broad trader consensus around stable medium-term inflation near 0.6% for 2026–2027 and anchored expectations within the 0–2% price stability range. Recent data show inflation rising modestly to 0.8% year-over-year in August from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remain subdued and the conditional forecast assumes no rate change through the horizon. This positioning aligns with the SNB’s June decision and communications emphasizing unchanged inflationary pressure alongside willingness to intervene in foreign exchange markets to counter excessive Swiss franc appreciation. Key swing factors that could alter the outlook include sustained commodity shocks pushing inflation expectations above target or a sharper global slowdown requiring further accommodation, though both appear low-probability given current labor market resilience and GDP forecasts around 1% for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
交易量
$7,126结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETThe Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is expected to hold the policy rate at 0%, with market-implied odds reflecting broad trader consensus around stable medium-term inflation near 0.6% for 2026–2027 and anchored expectations within the 0–2% price stability range. Recent data show inflation rising modestly to 0.8% year-over-year in August from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remain subdued and the conditional forecast assumes no rate change through the horizon. This positioning aligns with the SNB’s June decision and communications emphasizing unchanged inflationary pressure alongside willingness to intervene in foreign exchange markets to counter excessive Swiss franc appreciation. Key swing factors that could alter the outlook include sustained commodity shocks pushing inflation expectations above target or a sharper global slowdown requiring further accommodation, though both appear low-probability given current labor market resilience and GDP forecasts around 1% for 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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