Recent trading volatility in Tesla shares, including a sharp 6.56% decline to $391 on June 5 followed by a rebound to a $408.95 close on June 8 before falling back near $397 on June 9, underpins the 49.5% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395. Capital rotation concerns tied to SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on sentiment, alongside ongoing questions around product timelines and elevated 2026 capex guidance exceeding $25 billion. With the week ending June 12, these factors sustain trader focus on downside risks in the near term while leaving room for shifts if upcoming data or corporate updates alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$395 49%
$395-$400 12%
$400-$405 12%
$405-$410 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
<$395
49%
$395-$400
12%
$400-$405
12%
$405-$410
10%
$410-$415
8%
$415-$420
6%
$420-$425
6%
$425-$430
6%
$430-$435
5%
$435-$440
5%
>$440
8%
<$395 49%
$395-$400 12%
$400-$405 12%
$405-$410 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
<$395
$0 交易量
49%
$395-$400
$0 交易量
12%
$400-$405
$0 交易量
12%
$405-$410
$0 交易量
10%
$410-$415
$0 交易量
8%
$415-$420
$4 交易量
6%
$420-$425
$0 交易量
6%
$425-$430
$0 交易量
6%
$430-$435
$0 交易量
5%
$435-$440
$0 交易量
5%
>$440
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent trading volatility in Tesla shares, including a sharp 6.56% decline to $391 on June 5 followed by a rebound to a $408.95 close on June 8 before falling back near $397 on June 9, underpins the 49.5% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395. Capital rotation concerns tied to SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on sentiment, alongside ongoing questions around product timelines and elevated 2026 capex guidance exceeding $25 billion. With the week ending June 12, these factors sustain trader focus on downside risks in the near term while leaving room for shifts if upcoming data or corporate updates alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$4结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent trading volatility in Tesla shares, including a sharp 6.56% decline to $391 on June 5 followed by a rebound to a $408.95 close on June 8 before falling back near $397 on June 9, underpins the 49.5% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395. Capital rotation concerns tied to SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on sentiment, alongside ongoing questions around product timelines and elevated 2026 capex guidance exceeding $25 billion. With the week ending June 12, these factors sustain trader focus on downside risks in the near term while leaving room for shifts if upcoming data or corporate updates alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$4结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ETRecent trading volatility in Tesla shares, including a sharp 6.56% decline to $391 on June 5 followed by a rebound to a $408.95 close on June 8 before falling back near $397 on June 9, underpins the 49.5% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395. Capital rotation concerns tied to SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on sentiment, alongside ongoing questions around product timelines and elevated 2026 capex guidance exceeding $25 billion. With the week ending June 12, these factors sustain trader focus on downside risks in the near term while leaving room for shifts if upcoming data or corporate updates alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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