Tesla shares closed at $406.43 on June 12, 2026, after a 1.82% session gain amid the SpaceX IPO debut that briefly pressured the stock. Trader positioning for the June 19 close reflects this backdrop, with the >$420 bucket commanding the highest implied probability at 32.5% as markets price in potential momentum from AI infrastructure investments and robotaxi developments highlighted in Q1 results. Lower buckets around current levels capture near-term volatility tied to high capex outlays, negative free cash flow trends, and analyst consensus ratings clustered at Hold with targets near $409. The dispersed probabilities underscore uncertainty ahead of any fresh delivery data or macroeconomic signals influencing EV demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于>$420 33%
<$375 17%
$380-$385 11%
$385-$390 10%
<$375
17%
$375-$380
8%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
10%
$390-$395
9%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
9%
$410-$415
9%
$415-$420
8%
>$420
33%
>$420 33%
<$375 17%
$380-$385 11%
$385-$390 10%
<$375
17%
$375-$380
8%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
10%
$390-$395
9%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
9%
$410-$415
9%
$415-$420
8%
>$420
33%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Tesla shares closed at $406.43 on June 12, 2026, after a 1.82% session gain amid the SpaceX IPO debut that briefly pressured the stock. Trader positioning for the June 19 close reflects this backdrop, with the >$420 bucket commanding the highest implied probability at 32.5% as markets price in potential momentum from AI infrastructure investments and robotaxi developments highlighted in Q1 results. Lower buckets around current levels capture near-term volatility tied to high capex outlays, negative free cash flow trends, and analyst consensus ratings clustered at Hold with targets near $409. The dispersed probabilities underscore uncertainty ahead of any fresh delivery data or macroeconomic signals influencing EV demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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