**US bank failures through year-end 2026 reflect continued pressure on smaller institutions from elevated interest rates, commercial real estate (CRE) exposures, and rising delinquencies.** Five FDIC-insured banks have already failed in 2026—mostly community lenders with assets under $300 million—marking an uptick from two failures each in 2024 and 2025. The FDIC’s problem bank list has grown to 52 institutions holding $66.3 billion in assets, driven by unrealized losses on longer-duration securities and CRE loans. While the 32 largest banks comfortably cleared the June 2026 Federal Reserve stress tests with aggregate CET1 ratios declining only 1.6 percentage points to a 11.2% minimum, smaller banks remain vulnerable. With four months remaining, market-implied odds near 63% price in the ongoing drip of resolutions amid these balance-sheet strains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
63% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
63% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.**US bank failures through year-end 2026 reflect continued pressure on smaller institutions from elevated interest rates, commercial real estate (CRE) exposures, and rising delinquencies.** Five FDIC-insured banks have already failed in 2026—mostly community lenders with assets under $300 million—marking an uptick from two failures each in 2024 and 2025. The FDIC’s problem bank list has grown to 52 institutions holding $66.3 billion in assets, driven by unrealized losses on longer-duration securities and CRE loans. While the 32 largest banks comfortably cleared the June 2026 Federal Reserve stress tests with aggregate CET1 ratios declining only 1.6 percentage points to a 11.2% minimum, smaller banks remain vulnerable. With four months remaining, market-implied odds near 63% price in the ongoing drip of resolutions amid these balance-sheet strains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
交易量
$91结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.**US bank failures through year-end 2026 reflect continued pressure on smaller institutions from elevated interest rates, commercial real estate (CRE) exposures, and rising delinquencies.** Five FDIC-insured banks have already failed in 2026—mostly community lenders with assets under $300 million—marking an uptick from two failures each in 2024 and 2025. The FDIC’s problem bank list has grown to 52 institutions holding $66.3 billion in assets, driven by unrealized losses on longer-duration securities and CRE loans. While the 32 largest banks comfortably cleared the June 2026 Federal Reserve stress tests with aggregate CET1 ratios declining only 1.6 percentage points to a 11.2% minimum, smaller banks remain vulnerable. With four months remaining, market-implied odds near 63% price in the ongoing drip of resolutions amid these balance-sheet strains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
交易量
$91结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US bank failures through year-end 2026 reflect continued pressure on smaller institutions from elevated interest rates, commercial real estate (CRE) exposures, and rising delinquencies.** Five FDIC-insured banks have already failed in 2026—mostly community lenders with assets under $300 million—marking an uptick from two failures each in 2024 and 2025. The FDIC’s problem bank list has grown to 52 institutions holding $66.3 billion in assets, driven by unrealized losses on longer-duration securities and CRE loans. While the 32 largest banks comfortably cleared the June 2026 Federal Reserve stress tests with aggregate CET1 ratios declining only 1.6 percentage points to a 11.2% minimum, smaller banks remain vulnerable. With four months remaining, market-implied odds near 63% price in the ongoing drip of resolutions amid these balance-sheet strains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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