Persistent elevated inventory levels and subdued buyer demand amid mortgage rates near 6.5-7% have anchored trader expectations for Austin Metro median home values below $446,000 by September 30. Recent data through July 2026 show metro median sales prices around $435,000-$450,000, with Zillow home values near $504,000 after year-over-year declines of 4% or more from pandemic peaks. Excess supply from prior construction, slower in-migration, and rising insurance costs continue to support a buyer-friendly environment, with homes taking longer to sell and price cuts remaining common. Limited near-term catalysts suggest these conditions will likely hold through the resolution date, though any acceleration in sales velocity could influence final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$446,000 60%
$446K - $454K 29%
$454K - $462K 9%
47万 - 47.8万 1.8%
$56,107 交易量
$56,107 交易量
2026-09-30
<$446,000
60%
$446K - $454K
29%
$454K - $462K
9%
$462K - $470K
2%
47万 - 47.8万
2%
$478,000 - $486,000
1%
48.6万美元以上
1%
<$446,000 60%
$446K - $454K 29%
$454K - $462K 9%
47万 - 47.8万 1.8%
$56,107 交易量
$56,107 交易量
2026-09-30
<$446,000
$11,249 交易量
60%
$446K - $454K
$13,583 交易量
29%
$454K - $462K
$5,314 交易量
9%
$462K - $470K
$4,221 交易量
2%
47万 - 47.8万
$11,042 交易量
2%
$478,000 - $486,000
$2,894 交易量
1%
48.6万美元以上
$7,804 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Persistent elevated inventory levels and subdued buyer demand amid mortgage rates near 6.5-7% have anchored trader expectations for Austin Metro median home values below $446,000 by September 30. Recent data through July 2026 show metro median sales prices around $435,000-$450,000, with Zillow home values near $504,000 after year-over-year declines of 4% or more from pandemic peaks. Excess supply from prior construction, slower in-migration, and rising insurance costs continue to support a buyer-friendly environment, with homes taking longer to sell and price cuts remaining common. Limited near-term catalysts suggest these conditions will likely hold through the resolution date, though any acceleration in sales velocity could influence final readings.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$56,107结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Persistent elevated inventory levels and subdued buyer demand amid mortgage rates near 6.5-7% have anchored trader expectations for Austin Metro median home values below $446,000 by September 30. Recent data through July 2026 show metro median sales prices around $435,000-$450,000, with Zillow home values near $504,000 after year-over-year declines of 4% or more from pandemic peaks. Excess supply from prior construction, slower in-migration, and rising insurance costs continue to support a buyer-friendly environment, with homes taking longer to sell and price cuts remaining common. Limited near-term catalysts suggest these conditions will likely hold through the resolution date, though any acceleration in sales velocity could influence final readings.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
交易量
$56,107结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent elevated inventory levels and subdued buyer demand amid mortgage rates near 6.5-7% have anchored trader expectations for Austin Metro median home values below $446,000 by September 30. Recent data through July 2026 show metro median sales prices around $435,000-$450,000, with Zillow home values near $504,000 after year-over-year declines of 4% or more from pandemic peaks. Excess supply from prior construction, slower in-migration, and rising insurance costs continue to support a buyer-friendly environment, with homes taking longer to sell and price cuts remaining common. Limited near-term catalysts suggest these conditions will likely hold through the resolution date, though any acceleration in sales velocity could influence final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题