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Economy·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
Economy·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

9月 30

9月 30

<$512K 100%

$512K - $518K 100%

$518K - $524K 100%

$524K - $530K 100%

Polymarket
最新

<$512K 100%

$512K - $518K 100%

$518K - $524K 100%

$524K - $530K 100%

Polymarket
最新

<$512K

$0 交易量

100%

$512K - $518K

$0 交易量

100%

$518K - $524K

$0 交易量

100%

$524K - $530K

$0 交易量

100%

$530K - $536K

$0 交易量

100%

$536K - $542K

$0 交易量

50%

$542K+

$0 交易量

100%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce policy shifts and elevated inventory levels have introduced notable uncertainty into the DC Metro housing market, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $530K–$542K range for the September 30 median home value. Increased active listings, up sharply year-over-year, combined with modest price softening reported in Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026, reflect tempered buyer demand amid broader economic caution. Mortgage rate stability and regional employment trends tied to government spending remain key swing factors that could influence the final reading, with markets assigning nearly equal weight to adjacent price bands due to limited near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-09-30
市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce policy shifts and elevated inventory levels have introduced notable uncertainty into the DC Metro housing market, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $530K–$542K range for the September 30 median home value. Increased active listings, up sharply year-over-year, combined with modest price softening reported in Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026, reflect tempered buyer demand amid broader economic caution. Mortgage rate stability and regional employment trends tied to government spending remain key swing factors that could influence the final reading, with markets assigning nearly equal weight to adjacent price bands due to limited near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-09-30
市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<$512K"，概率为 50%，其次是"$512K - $518K"，概率为 50%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 50¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jul 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?"的当前领先者是"<$512K"，概率为 50%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 50%。紧随其后的结果是"$512K - $518K"，概率为 50%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。