Recent data indicate Austin metro median sales prices hovering in the $435,000–$450,000 range through mid-2026, reflecting a multi-year correction from 2022 peaks driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6.5–7%, persistent inventory overhang from pandemic-era construction, and rising homeowner insurance costs. These factors have tempered buyer demand and extended days on market, supporting the market-implied 89% probability of outcomes at or below $454,000 by September 30. With no near-term reversal catalysts evident in labor markets or migration trends, trader positioning aligns with expectations of stabilization or modest further softening through the resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$446,000 60%
$446K - $454K 29%
$454K - $462K 9%
47万 - 47.8万 1.8%
$56,274 交易量
$56,274 交易量
2026-09-30
<$446,000
60%
$446K - $454K
29%
$454K - $462K
9%
$462K - $470K
2%
47万 - 47.8万
2%
$478,000 - $486,000
1%
48.6万美元以上
2%
<$446,000 60%
$446K - $454K 29%
$454K - $462K 9%
47万 - 47.8万 1.8%
$56,274 交易量
$56,274 交易量
2026-09-30
<$446,000
$11,249 交易量
60%
$446K - $454K
$13,703 交易量
29%
$454K - $462K
$5,347 交易量
9%
$462K - $470K
$4,221 交易量
2%
47万 - 47.8万
$11,042 交易量
2%
$478,000 - $486,000
$2,908 交易量
1%
48.6万美元以上
$7,804 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent data indicate Austin metro median sales prices hovering in the $435,000–$450,000 range through mid-2026, reflecting a multi-year correction from 2022 peaks driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6.5–7%, persistent inventory overhang from pandemic-era construction, and rising homeowner insurance costs. These factors have tempered buyer demand and extended days on market, supporting the market-implied 89% probability of outcomes at or below $454,000 by September 30. With no near-term reversal catalysts evident in labor markets or migration trends, trader positioning aligns with expectations of stabilization or modest further softening through the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$56,274结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent data indicate Austin metro median sales prices hovering in the $435,000–$450,000 range through mid-2026, reflecting a multi-year correction from 2022 peaks driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6.5–7%, persistent inventory overhang from pandemic-era construction, and rising homeowner insurance costs. These factors have tempered buyer demand and extended days on market, supporting the market-implied 89% probability of outcomes at or below $454,000 by September 30. With no near-term reversal catalysts evident in labor markets or migration trends, trader positioning aligns with expectations of stabilization or modest further softening through the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
交易量
$56,274结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data indicate Austin metro median sales prices hovering in the $435,000–$450,000 range through mid-2026, reflecting a multi-year correction from 2022 peaks driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6.5–7%, persistent inventory overhang from pandemic-era construction, and rising homeowner insurance costs. These factors have tempered buyer demand and extended days on market, supporting the market-implied 89% probability of outcomes at or below $454,000 by September 30. With no near-term reversal catalysts evident in labor markets or migration trends, trader positioning aligns with expectations of stabilization or modest further softening through the resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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