Recent softening in the DC Metro housing market, driven by elevated inventory and reduced demand tied to federal workforce uncertainty, anchors trader sentiment around the $512K–$530K range. Increased listings, modest year-over-year price stabilization or slight declines in Zillow and Redfin metrics, and mid-6% mortgage rates have tempered appreciation, with forecasts pointing to flat-to-down trajectories through late 2026. The closely contested leading buckets reflect limited near-term catalysts before September 30 resolution, as seasonal cooling and labor-market signals compete with any potential rate relief or buyer re-entry. Market-implied odds treat these as aggregated probabilities rather than certainties amid ongoing data releases on employment and rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$518K - $524K 34.2%
$524,000 - $530,000 30.0%
$512K - $518K 26.6%
<$512,000 12.6%
$32,447 交易量
$32,447 交易量
2026-09-30
<$512,000
12%
$512K - $518K
27%
$518K - $524K
34%
$524,000 - $530,000
21%
$53万 - $53.6万
4%
$536K - $542K
4%
54.2万美元+
5%
$518K - $524K 34.2%
$524,000 - $530,000 30.0%
$512K - $518K 26.6%
<$512,000 12.6%
$32,447 交易量
$32,447 交易量
2026-09-30
<$512,000
$877 交易量
12%
$512K - $518K
$1,716 交易量
27%
$518K - $524K
$9,429 交易量
34%
$524,000 - $530,000
$4,388 交易量
21%
$53万 - $53.6万
$4,122 交易量
4%
$536K - $542K
$7,787 交易量
4%
54.2万美元+
$4,128 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in the DC Metro housing market, driven by elevated inventory and reduced demand tied to federal workforce uncertainty, anchors trader sentiment around the $512K–$530K range. Increased listings, modest year-over-year price stabilization or slight declines in Zillow and Redfin metrics, and mid-6% mortgage rates have tempered appreciation, with forecasts pointing to flat-to-down trajectories through late 2026. The closely contested leading buckets reflect limited near-term catalysts before September 30 resolution, as seasonal cooling and labor-market signals compete with any potential rate relief or buyer re-entry. Market-implied odds treat these as aggregated probabilities rather than certainties amid ongoing data releases on employment and rates.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$32,447结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in the DC Metro housing market, driven by elevated inventory and reduced demand tied to federal workforce uncertainty, anchors trader sentiment around the $512K–$530K range. Increased listings, modest year-over-year price stabilization or slight declines in Zillow and Redfin metrics, and mid-6% mortgage rates have tempered appreciation, with forecasts pointing to flat-to-down trajectories through late 2026. The closely contested leading buckets reflect limited near-term catalysts before September 30 resolution, as seasonal cooling and labor-market signals compete with any potential rate relief or buyer re-entry. Market-implied odds treat these as aggregated probabilities rather than certainties amid ongoing data releases on employment and rates.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
交易量
$32,447结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softening in the DC Metro housing market, driven by elevated inventory and reduced demand tied to federal workforce uncertainty, anchors trader sentiment around the $512K–$530K range. Increased listings, modest year-over-year price stabilization or slight declines in Zillow and Redfin metrics, and mid-6% mortgage rates have tempered appreciation, with forecasts pointing to flat-to-down trajectories through late 2026. The closely contested leading buckets reflect limited near-term catalysts before September 30 resolution, as seasonal cooling and labor-market signals compete with any potential rate relief or buyer re-entry. Market-implied odds treat these as aggregated probabilities rather than certainties amid ongoing data releases on employment and rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题