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icon for 哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?

哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?

icon for 哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?

哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?

$231,429 交易量

2026-03-22
Polymarket

$231,429 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 民主党(D)

民主党(D)

$23,865 交易量

98%

icon for 新斯洛文尼亚-基督教民主党(NSi)

新斯洛文尼亚-基督教民主党(NSi)

$10,612 交易量

97%

icon for 斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS)

斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS)

$27,814 交易量

96%

icon for 斯洛文尼亚人民党(SLS)

斯洛文尼亚人民党(SLS)

$12,798 交易量

61%

icon for 自由运动(GS)

自由运动(GS)

$46,612 交易量

4%

icon for Resni.ca(Res)

Resni.ca(Res)

$56,889 交易量

4%

icon for 左翼党(Levica)

左翼党(Levica)

$10,427 交易量

3%

icon for Mi,社会主义者!(Mi!)

Mi,社会主义者!(Mi!)

$862 交易量

3%

icon for 社会民主党(SD)

社会民主党(SD)

$13,949 交易量

1%

icon for 维斯纳 – 绿党(维斯纳)

维斯纳 – 绿党(维斯纳)

$2,457 交易量

1%

icon for 我们的国家(ND)

我们的国家(ND)

$4,329 交易量

1%

icon for 普雷罗德(PVP)

普雷罗德(PVP)

$2,479 交易量

1%

icon for 斯洛文尼亚民族党(SNS)

斯洛文尼亚民族党(SNS)

$3,212 交易量

<1%

icon for 斯洛文尼亚海盗党(PPS)

斯洛文尼亚海盗党(PPS)

$14,095 交易量

<1%

icon for 世代党(SG)

世代党(SG)

$1,029 交易量

44%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
交易量
$231,429
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
交易量
$231,429
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"民主党(D)",概率为 98%,其次是"新斯洛文尼亚-基督教民主党(NSi)",概率为 97%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?"已产生 $231.4K 的总交易量(自Mar 13, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?"的当前领先者是"民主党(D)",概率为 98%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"新斯洛文尼亚-基督教民主党(NSi)",概率为 97%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些政党将成为下一届斯洛文尼亚政府的一部分?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。