Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$231,429 交易量

民主党(D)
98%

新斯洛文尼亚-基督教民主党(NSi)
97%

斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS)
96%

斯洛文尼亚人民党(SLS)
61%

自由运动(GS)
4%

Resni.ca(Res)
4%

左翼党(Levica)
3%

Mi,社会主义者!(Mi!)
3%

社会民主党(SD)
1%

维斯纳 – 绿党(维斯纳)
1%

我们的国家(ND)
1%

普雷罗德(PVP)
1%

斯洛文尼亚民族党(SNS)
<1%

斯洛文尼亚海盗党(PPS)
<1%

世代党(SG)
44%
$231,429 交易量

民主党(D)
98%

新斯洛文尼亚-基督教民主党(NSi)
97%

斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS)
96%

斯洛文尼亚人民党(SLS)
61%

自由运动(GS)
4%

Resni.ca(Res)
4%

左翼党(Levica)
3%

Mi,社会主义者!(Mi!)
3%

社会民主党(SD)
1%

维斯纳 – 绿党(维斯纳)
1%

我们的国家(ND)
1%

普雷罗德(PVP)
1%

斯洛文尼亚民族党(SNS)
<1%

斯洛文尼亚海盗党(PPS)
<1%

世代党(SG)
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题