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政治·名人

谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？

icon for 谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？
政治·名人

谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？

$644,327 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$644,327 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 卡玛拉·哈里斯

卡玛拉·哈里斯

$20,263 交易量

21%

icon for 皮特·布蒂吉格

皮特·布蒂吉格

$6,655 交易量

20%

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J.B.普利茨克

$2,306 交易量

19%

icon for 史蒂夫·班农

史蒂夫·班农

$9,513 交易量

18%

icon for 马克·凯利

马克·凯利

$5,909 交易量

17%

icon for 罗恩·德桑蒂斯

罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$1,632 交易量

16%

icon for 马特·盖茨

马特·盖茨

$2,490 交易量

16%

icon for 乔什·霍利

乔什·霍利

$3,386 交易量

11%

icon for 加文·纽森

加文·纽森

$47,737 交易量

15%

icon for 拉姆·伊曼纽尔

拉姆·伊曼纽尔

$6,198 交易量

15%

icon for 塔克·卡尔森

塔克·卡尔森

$10,779 交易量

15%

icon for 布莱恩·坎普

布莱恩·坎普

$1,649 交易量

14%

icon for 兰德·保罗

兰德·保罗

$14,445 交易量

14%

icon for 贝托·奥洛克

贝托·奥洛克

$5,872 交易量

13%

icon for 亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

$31,396 交易量

13%

icon for 格雷格·阿博特

格雷格·阿博特

$1,916 交易量

13%

icon for 安迪·贝希尔

安迪·贝希尔

$4,706 交易量

13%

icon for 约翰·费特曼

约翰·费特曼

$4,720 交易量

12%

icon for 泰德·克鲁兹

泰德·克鲁兹

$11,813 交易量

12%

icon for 吉娜·雷蒙多

吉娜·雷蒙多

$0 交易量

11%

icon for 马可·鲁比奥

马可·鲁比奥

$4,446 交易量

11%

icon for 奥普拉·温弗瑞

奥普拉·温弗瑞

$13,659 交易量

11%

icon for 杨安泽

杨安泽

$8,457 交易量

11%

icon for J.D.万斯

J.D.万斯

$18,004 交易量

11%

icon for 萨拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

萨拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$4,310 交易量

11%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,289 交易量

11%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$134 交易量

11%

icon for 坎迪斯·欧文斯

坎迪斯·欧文斯

$302 交易量

10%

icon for 斯蒂芬·A·史密斯

斯蒂芬·A·史密斯

$14,911 交易量

10%

icon for 乔恩·奥索夫

乔恩·奥索夫

$1,309 交易量

10%

icon for 拉斐尔·沃诺克

拉斐尔·沃诺克

$1,979 交易量

10%

icon for 玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

$13,805 交易量

10%

icon for 乔什·沙皮罗

乔什·沙皮罗

$5,159 交易量

10%

icon for 拜伦·唐纳兹

拜伦·唐纳兹

$6,057 交易量

10%

icon for 贾里德·波利斯

贾里德·波利斯

$3,436 交易量

10%

icon for 利兹·切尼

利兹·切尼

$79 交易量

10%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普二世

唐纳德·特朗普二世

$4,236 交易量

9%

icon for 汤姆·布雷迪

汤姆·布雷迪

$8,736 交易量

9%

icon for 马克·库班

马克·库班

$1,505 交易量

9%

icon for 德维恩·“岩石”·约翰逊

德维恩·“岩石”·约翰逊

$3,073 交易量

9%

icon for 克里斯蒂·诺姆

克里斯蒂·诺姆

$19,596 交易量

9%

icon for 蒂姆·沃尔兹

蒂姆·沃尔兹

$4,103 交易量

9%

icon for 乔治·克鲁尼

乔治·克鲁尼

$4,010 交易量

9%

icon for 韦斯·摩尔

韦斯·摩尔

$6,220 交易量

8%

icon for 约翰·图恩

约翰·图恩

$2,794 交易量

8%

icon for 格伦·杨金

格伦·杨金

$5,625 交易量

8%

icon for 唐·莱蒙

唐·莱蒙

$11 交易量

8%

icon for 图尔西·加巴德

图尔西·加巴德

$4,458 交易量

10%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普

唐纳德·特朗普

$9,060 交易量

7%

icon for 罗伊·库珀

罗伊·库珀

$3,405 交易量

7%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$5,800 交易量

7%

icon for 伊万卡·特朗普

伊万卡·特朗普

$26,943 交易量

7%

icon for 凯蒂·布里特

凯蒂·布里特

$20,465 交易量

7%

icon for 科里·布克

科里·布克

$11,382 交易量

7%

icon for 埃丽卡·柯克

埃丽卡·柯克

$22,054 交易量

6%

icon for 亨特·拜登

亨特·拜登

$31,232 交易量

6%

icon for 伯尼·桑德斯

伯尼·桑德斯

$2,351 交易量

6%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$7,798 交易量

6%

icon for 伊丽莎白·斯特凡尼克

伊丽莎白·斯特凡尼克

$3,436 交易量

5%

icon for 米歇尔·奥巴马

米歇尔·奥巴马

$11,549 交易量

5%

icon for 佐赫兰·曼达尼

佐赫兰·曼达尼

$32,105 交易量

5%

icon for 贝拉克·奥巴马

贝拉克·奥巴马

$6,359 交易量

4%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$3,035 交易量

4%

icon for 希拉里·克林顿

希拉里·克林顿

$8,783 交易量

4%

icon for 小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪

小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪

$9,482 交易量

4%

icon for 迈克·彭斯

迈克·彭斯

$13,912 交易量

3%

icon for 切尔西·克林顿

切尔西·克林顿

$12,145 交易量

3%

icon for 乔恩·斯图尔特

乔恩·斯图尔特

$485 交易量

3%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$15,028 交易量

2%

icon for 菲尔·墨菲

菲尔·墨菲

$2,550 交易量

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$24,879 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several potential candidates for the 2028 presidential election have begun early positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms, with no major formal announcements recorded as of mid-May 2026. Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have drawn attention through visits to Iowa and donor outreach, while figures such as former Vice President Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom remain prominent in Democratic discussions. Traders assess timing risks tied to midterm results, possible Trump endorsements, and primary-state activity that could trigger earlier declarations. Historical patterns show most serious contenders file with the FEC or launch exploratory efforts in the year before primaries, leaving room for late-2026 developments to shift probabilities before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$644,327
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several potential candidates for the 2028 presidential election have begun early positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms, with no major formal announcements recorded as of mid-May 2026. Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have drawn attention through visits to Iowa and donor outreach, while figures such as former Vice President Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom remain prominent in Democratic discussions. Traders assess timing risks tied to midterm results, possible Trump endorsements, and primary-state activity that could trigger earlier declarations. Historical patterns show most serious contenders file with the FEC or launch exploratory efforts in the year before primaries, leaving room for late-2026 developments to shift probabilities before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$644,327
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 71+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"卡玛拉·哈里斯"，概率为 21%，其次是"皮特·布蒂吉格"，概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 21¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 21%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"已产生 $644.3K 的总交易量（自Nov 20, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 71+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"的当前领先者是"卡玛拉·哈里斯"，概率为 21%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 21%。紧随其后的结果是"皮特·布蒂吉格"，概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。