The 2026 Senate map requires Democrats to defend competitive seats in Georgia and an open Michigan race while pursuing net gains of four seats overall, creating a narrow path that leaves winning all four core battlegrounds in doubt. Recent Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball updates show modest shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina, Alaska, and Ohio amid candidate recruitment and early polling, yet Republican structural advantages in several states and the typical midterm environment sustain balance near even odds. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, candidate quality in toss-ups, and how national conditions such as economic indicators or legislative developments could alter margins in the final weeks before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
50% 概率
$19,812 交易量
$19,812 交易量
2026-11-03
是
50% 概率
$19,812 交易量
$19,812 交易量
2026-11-03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The 2026 Senate map requires Democrats to defend competitive seats in Georgia and an open Michigan race while pursuing net gains of four seats overall, creating a narrow path that leaves winning all four core battlegrounds in doubt. Recent Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball updates show modest shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina, Alaska, and Ohio amid candidate recruitment and early polling, yet Republican structural advantages in several states and the typical midterm environment sustain balance near even odds. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, candidate quality in toss-ups, and how national conditions such as economic indicators or legislative developments could alter margins in the final weeks before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$19,812结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The 2026 Senate map requires Democrats to defend competitive seats in Georgia and an open Michigan race while pursuing net gains of four seats overall, creating a narrow path that leaves winning all four core battlegrounds in doubt. Recent Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball updates show modest shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina, Alaska, and Ohio amid candidate recruitment and early polling, yet Republican structural advantages in several states and the typical midterm environment sustain balance near even odds. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, candidate quality in toss-ups, and how national conditions such as economic indicators or legislative developments could alter margins in the final weeks before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
交易量
$19,812结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Senate map requires Democrats to defend competitive seats in Georgia and an open Michigan race while pursuing net gains of four seats overall, creating a narrow path that leaves winning all four core battlegrounds in doubt. Recent Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball updates show modest shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina, Alaska, and Ohio amid candidate recruitment and early polling, yet Republican structural advantages in several states and the typical midterm environment sustain balance near even odds. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, candidate quality in toss-ups, and how national conditions such as economic indicators or legislative developments could alter margins in the final weeks before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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