Recent polling aggregates from the Economist and others show Democrats leading by 5-9 points across Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—the core four Senate battlegrounds—with incumbents Jon Ossoff and Gary Peters holding advantages in GA and MI, while Susan Collins faces headwinds in ME and NC remains an open seat vulnerable to flips. The Cook Political Report's April 13 shift of these races toward Democrats has solidified trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for a Democratic sweep, reflecting midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-power party amid a Republican Senate majority. Upcoming primaries, including Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote, represent potential catalysts, though current leads suggest competitive but favorable terrain for Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
最新
最新
2026-11-03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling aggregates from the Economist and others show Democrats leading by 5-9 points across Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—the core four Senate battlegrounds—with incumbents Jon Ossoff and Gary Peters holding advantages in GA and MI, while Susan Collins faces headwinds in ME and NC remains an open seat vulnerable to flips. The Cook Political Report's April 13 shift of these races toward Democrats has solidified trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for a Democratic sweep, reflecting midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-power party amid a Republican Senate majority. Upcoming primaries, including Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote, represent potential catalysts, though current leads suggest competitive but favorable terrain for Democrats.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$4,000结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling aggregates from the Economist and others show Democrats leading by 5-9 points across Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—the core four Senate battlegrounds—with incumbents Jon Ossoff and Gary Peters holding advantages in GA and MI, while Susan Collins faces headwinds in ME and NC remains an open seat vulnerable to flips. The Cook Political Report's April 13 shift of these races toward Democrats has solidified trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for a Democratic sweep, reflecting midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-power party amid a Republican Senate majority. Upcoming primaries, including Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote, represent potential catalysts, though current leads suggest competitive but favorable terrain for Democrats.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
交易量
$4,000结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates from the Economist and others show Democrats leading by 5-9 points across Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—the core four Senate battlegrounds—with incumbents Jon Ossoff and Gary Peters holding advantages in GA and MI, while Susan Collins faces headwinds in ME and NC remains an open seat vulnerable to flips. The Cook Political Report's April 13 shift of these races toward Democrats has solidified trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for a Democratic sweep, reflecting midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-power party amid a Republican Senate majority. Upcoming primaries, including Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote, represent potential catalysts, though current leads suggest competitive but favorable terrain for Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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