The closely contested 50.5% "No" odds on Democrats sweeping the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—reflect individual race dynamics and polling volatility with roughly three months until November 3. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, strong leads for Roy Cooper in North Carolina, competitive positioning for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and a modest Republican advantage for Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national conditions such as economic sentiment or legislative developments that could shift voter preferences across multiple seats simultaneously. Any late movement in one or more of these toss-up or lean contests could alter the probability of a full Democratic sweep.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
49% 概率
$19,827 交易量
$19,827 交易量
2026-11-03
是
49% 概率
$19,827 交易量
$19,827 交易量
2026-11-03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The closely contested 50.5% "No" odds on Democrats sweeping the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—reflect individual race dynamics and polling volatility with roughly three months until November 3. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, strong leads for Roy Cooper in North Carolina, competitive positioning for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and a modest Republican advantage for Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national conditions such as economic sentiment or legislative developments that could shift voter preferences across multiple seats simultaneously. Any late movement in one or more of these toss-up or lean contests could alter the probability of a full Democratic sweep.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$19,827结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The closely contested 50.5% "No" odds on Democrats sweeping the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—reflect individual race dynamics and polling volatility with roughly three months until November 3. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, strong leads for Roy Cooper in North Carolina, competitive positioning for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and a modest Republican advantage for Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national conditions such as economic sentiment or legislative developments that could shift voter preferences across multiple seats simultaneously. Any late movement in one or more of these toss-up or lean contests could alter the probability of a full Democratic sweep.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
交易量
$19,827结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 50.5% "No" odds on Democrats sweeping the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—reflect individual race dynamics and polling volatility with roughly three months until November 3. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, strong leads for Roy Cooper in North Carolina, competitive positioning for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and a modest Republican advantage for Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national conditions such as economic sentiment or legislative developments that could shift voter preferences across multiple seats simultaneously. Any late movement in one or more of these toss-up or lean contests could alter the probability of a full Democratic sweep.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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