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icon for 迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?

迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?

icon for 迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?

迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?

39% 概率
Polymarket
最新
39% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Loan deals will qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.Michael Olise remains at Bayern Munich amid conflicting reports on his future, with the French winger reportedly informing teammates of interest in Real Madrid during the 2026 World Cup while recent updates indicate he has signaled loyalty to Bayern officials. Real Madrid has repeatedly denied direct contact, citing the need for Olise to publicly push for a move and for Bayern to agree to a sale, preserving strong institutional ties between the clubs. Bayern views the attacker as untouchable and is reportedly pursuing a contract extension, with any potential deal complicated by an estimated fee exceeding €150 million that would require a major outgoing sale from Madrid first. Olise's strong recent form, including assists at the World Cup and consistent Bundesliga contributions, reinforces his value at his current club. These barriers align with trader consensus favoring no immediate transfer.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Loan deals will qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Loan deals will qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Loan deals will qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.Michael Olise remains at Bayern Munich amid conflicting reports on his future, with the French winger reportedly informing teammates of interest in Real Madrid during the 2026 World Cup while recent updates indicate he has signaled loyalty to Bayern officials. Real Madrid has repeatedly denied direct contact, citing the need for Olise to publicly push for a move and for Bayern to agree to a sale, preserving strong institutional ties between the clubs. Bayern views the attacker as untouchable and is reportedly pursuing a contract extension, with any potential deal complicated by an estimated fee exceeding €150 million that would require a major outgoing sale from Madrid first. Olise's strong recent form, including assists at the World Cup and consistent Bundesliga contributions, reinforces his value at his current club. These barriers align with trader consensus favoring no immediate transfer.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Loan deals will qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Loan deals will qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 39%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 39¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?"的当前概率为 39%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 39%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"迈克尔·奥利斯会转会到皇家马德里吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。