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icon for Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?

Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?

icon for Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?

Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?

10% 概率
Polymarket
最新

10% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Ron DeSantis remaining outside the Trump administration through June 30 reflects the lack of any recent public signals, statements, or procedural steps pointing toward a cabinet nomination or other executive appointment. DeSantis continues serving his second term as Florida governor with no announced plans to resign or transition, and Senate confirmation processes for high-level positions typically require weeks of vetting and hearings that exceed the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns of post-election staffing show most major roles filled well before mid-2026, leaving limited openings that align with DeSantis’s current focus on state policy priorities. While late developments such as unexpected vacancies or direct outreach could still alter the outlook, the current evidence supports the strong implied probability against a move by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,186
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Ron DeSantis remaining outside the Trump administration through June 30 reflects the lack of any recent public signals, statements, or procedural steps pointing toward a cabinet nomination or other executive appointment. DeSantis continues serving his second term as Florida governor with no announced plans to resign or transition, and Senate confirmation processes for high-level positions typically require weeks of vetting and hearings that exceed the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns of post-election staffing show most major roles filled well before mid-2026, leaving limited openings that align with DeSantis’s current focus on state policy priorities. While late developments such as unexpected vacancies or direct outreach could still alter the outlook, the current evidence supports the strong implied probability against a move by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,186
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"罗恩·德桑蒂斯会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府吗?",概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 10¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 10%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?"的当前领先者是"罗恩·德桑蒂斯会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府吗?",概率为 10%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Ron DeSantis是否会在6月30日前加入特朗普政府?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。