The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2028-11-07
最新
最新
2028-11-07
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,064结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,064结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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