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icon for 下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?

下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?

icon for 下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?

下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?

39% 概率
Polymarket

$12,951 交易量

39% 概率
Polymarket

$12,951 交易量

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus on a low probability for a female winner in the 2028 presidential election reflects early prediction market and polling data showing male candidates such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio holding the strongest positions among Republicans, while Democrats feature frontrunners including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in most aggregates. Potential female contenders like Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited or no interest in running, and no other high-profile women have emerged as top-tier options since the 2024 results. The 2026 midterms and subsequent primary dynamics could alter visibility for female candidates, but current frontrunner positioning and historical patterns in open-seat races continue to shape the implied odds.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$12,951
结束日期
2028-11-07
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus on a low probability for a female winner in the 2028 presidential election reflects early prediction market and polling data showing male candidates such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio holding the strongest positions among Republicans, while Democrats feature frontrunners including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in most aggregates. Potential female contenders like Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited or no interest in running, and no other high-profile women have emerged as top-tier options since the 2024 results. The 2026 midterms and subsequent primary dynamics could alter visibility for female candidates, but current frontrunner positioning and historical patterns in open-seat races continue to shape the implied odds.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$12,951
结束日期
2028-11-07
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?",概率为 39%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 39¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?"已产生 $13K 的总交易量(自Feb 17, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?"的当前领先者是"下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?",概率为 39%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 39%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任当选的美国总统会是女性吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。