The early 2028 presidential field centers on male candidates including Vice President JD Vance, Governor Gavin Newsom, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who lead initial polling and prediction market pricing. Democratic discussions in early 2026 have highlighted concerns over nominating another woman after prior national losses, with former First Lady Michelle Obama noting voter reluctance among some men. Potential female contenders such as Governor Gretchen Whitmer and former Vice President Kamala Harris receive media attention yet trail in early assessments. With primaries more than two years away and no major announcements yet, these patterns sustain trader consensus around an 80 percent probability against the next elected president being a woman.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$11,495 交易量
$11,495 交易量
是
$11,495 交易量
$11,495 交易量
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市场开放时间: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The early 2028 presidential field centers on male candidates including Vice President JD Vance, Governor Gavin Newsom, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who lead initial polling and prediction market pricing. Democratic discussions in early 2026 have highlighted concerns over nominating another woman after prior national losses, with former First Lady Michelle Obama noting voter reluctance among some men. Potential female contenders such as Governor Gretchen Whitmer and former Vice President Kamala Harris receive media attention yet trail in early assessments. With primaries more than two years away and no major announcements yet, these patterns sustain trader consensus around an 80 percent probability against the next elected president being a woman.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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