Trader consensus on a low probability for a female winner in the 2028 presidential election reflects early prediction market and polling data showing male candidates such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio holding the strongest positions among Republicans, while Democrats feature frontrunners including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in most aggregates. Potential female contenders like Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited or no interest in running, and no other high-profile women have emerged as top-tier options since the 2024 results. The 2026 midterms and subsequent primary dynamics could alter visibility for female candidates, but current frontrunner positioning and historical patterns in open-seat races continue to shape the implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$12,951 交易量
$12,951 交易量
是
$12,951 交易量
$12,951 交易量
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市场开放时间: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a low probability for a female winner in the 2028 presidential election reflects early prediction market and polling data showing male candidates such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio holding the strongest positions among Republicans, while Democrats feature frontrunners including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in most aggregates. Potential female contenders like Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited or no interest in running, and no other high-profile women have emerged as top-tier options since the 2024 results. The 2026 midterms and subsequent primary dynamics could alter visibility for female candidates, but current frontrunner positioning and historical patterns in open-seat races continue to shape the implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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