The Philippine Senate's two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24 continues to anchor trader expectations against removal of Vice President Sara Duterte, as her allied bloc and shifting Senate alignments limit cross-aisle support. The ongoing trial, now in its 27th day as of September 21, 2026, centers on Article II allegations of unexplained wealth, inaccurate SALN filings, and undeclared business interests, with prosecutors introducing SEC and corporate records while the defense contests procedural matters. Debates persist over whether the 16-vote requirement applies to all senators or only active participants, given absences tied to detention or legal issues among several members. The extended schedule into 2027 and lack of decisive momentum for the prosecution reinforce the current implied probability favoring acquittal or failure to reach the required votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40% 概率
$13,804 交易量
$13,804 交易量
2026-12-31
40% 概率
$13,804 交易量
$13,804 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24 continues to anchor trader expectations against removal of Vice President Sara Duterte, as her allied bloc and shifting Senate alignments limit cross-aisle support. The ongoing trial, now in its 27th day as of September 21, 2026, centers on Article II allegations of unexplained wealth, inaccurate SALN filings, and undeclared business interests, with prosecutors introducing SEC and corporate records while the defense contests procedural matters. Debates persist over whether the 16-vote requirement applies to all senators or only active participants, given absences tied to detention or legal issues among several members. The extended schedule into 2027 and lack of decisive momentum for the prosecution reinforce the current implied probability favoring acquittal or failure to reach the required votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
交易量
$13,804结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24 continues to anchor trader expectations against removal of Vice President Sara Duterte, as her allied bloc and shifting Senate alignments limit cross-aisle support. The ongoing trial, now in its 27th day as of September 21, 2026, centers on Article II allegations of unexplained wealth, inaccurate SALN filings, and undeclared business interests, with prosecutors introducing SEC and corporate records while the defense contests procedural matters. Debates persist over whether the 16-vote requirement applies to all senators or only active participants, given absences tied to detention or legal issues among several members. The extended schedule into 2027 and lack of decisive momentum for the prosecution reinforce the current implied probability favoring acquittal or failure to reach the required votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$13,804结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETThe Philippine Senate's two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24 continues to anchor trader expectations against removal of Vice President Sara Duterte, as her allied bloc and shifting Senate alignments limit cross-aisle support. The ongoing trial, now in its 27th day as of September 21, 2026, centers on Article II allegations of unexplained wealth, inaccurate SALN filings, and undeclared business interests, with prosecutors introducing SEC and corporate records while the defense contests procedural matters. Debates persist over whether the 16-vote requirement applies to all senators or only active participants, given absences tied to detention or legal issues among several members. The extended schedule into 2027 and lack of decisive momentum for the prosecution reinforce the current implied probability favoring acquittal or failure to reach the required votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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