Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, including a narrow House edge, have prevented any serious advancement of impeachment articles despite scattered Democratic calls tied to foreign policy actions and domestic disputes earlier in 2026. With the November midterms still months away, unified Republican control through most of the resolution window limits opportunities for House passage. Traders assign 98.3% probability to no impeachment by year-end because even a post-midterm Democratic House flip would leave minimal time for proceedings, while Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority unlikely under current partisan alignments. Late developments such as a decisive midterm shift or major new allegations could compress timelines but face the same institutional thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,002,205 交易量
$1,002,205 交易量
是
$1,002,205 交易量
$1,002,205 交易量
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, including a narrow House edge, have prevented any serious advancement of impeachment articles despite scattered Democratic calls tied to foreign policy actions and domestic disputes earlier in 2026. With the November midterms still months away, unified Republican control through most of the resolution window limits opportunities for House passage. Traders assign 98.3% probability to no impeachment by year-end because even a post-midterm Democratic House flip would leave minimal time for proceedings, while Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority unlikely under current partisan alignments. Late developments such as a decisive midterm shift or major new allegations could compress timelines but face the same institutional thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题