Republican control of the House, with a 219-212 majority in the 119th Congress, remains the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump, requiring a simple majority vote to pass. Recent Democratic efforts, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 1155 filed in April 2026 by Reps. Larson and others, alongside calls from Reps. Raskin and Green, have gained public poll support—over 50% of voters favor impeachment—but lack Republican backing or procedural momentum. Absent a major scandal or defections, traders see minimal path forward before year-end, as the November 2026 midterms usher in the 120th Congress only in January 2027. This structural reality underpins the 87% implied probability on "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$709,151 交易量
$709,151 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 4% 收益
是
$709,151 交易量
$709,151 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 4% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a 219-212 majority in the 119th Congress, remains the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump, requiring a simple majority vote to pass. Recent Democratic efforts, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 1155 filed in April 2026 by Reps. Larson and others, alongside calls from Reps. Raskin and Green, have gained public poll support—over 50% of voters favor impeachment—but lack Republican backing or procedural momentum. Absent a major scandal or defections, traders see minimal path forward before year-end, as the November 2026 midterms usher in the 120th Congress only in January 2027. This structural reality underpins the 87% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$709,151结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a 219-212 majority in the 119th Congress, remains the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump, requiring a simple majority vote to pass. Recent Democratic efforts, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 1155 filed in April 2026 by Reps. Larson and others, alongside calls from Reps. Raskin and Green, have gained public poll support—over 50% of voters favor impeachment—but lack Republican backing or procedural momentum. Absent a major scandal or defections, traders see minimal path forward before year-end, as the November 2026 midterms usher in the 120th Congress only in January 2027. This structural reality underpins the 87% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$709,151结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House, with a 219-212 majority in the 119th Congress, remains the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump, requiring a simple majority vote to pass. Recent Democratic efforts, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 1155 filed in April 2026 by Reps. Larson and others, alongside calls from Reps. Raskin and Green, have gained public poll support—over 50% of voters favor impeachment—but lack Republican backing or procedural momentum. Absent a major scandal or defections, traders see minimal path forward before year-end, as the November 2026 midterms usher in the 120th Congress only in January 2027. This structural reality underpins the 87% implied probability on "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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