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icon for Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?

Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?

icon for Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?

Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?

5% 概率
Polymarket

$156,582 交易量

5% 概率
Polymarket

$156,582 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth facing impeachment by June 30, driven by Republican House majority (219-212) blocking Democratic articles of impeachment filed April 15 under H.Res. 935, which accused him of abuse of power and unauthorized Iran strikes. No floor vote has advanced amid partisan divides, with only six weeks left before resolution. Hegseth's recent May 12 testimonies before House and Senate Appropriations committees defending the $1.5 trillion FY2027 defense budget and Iran ceasefire underscore business-as-usual operations without impeachment momentum. Senate conviction would require 67 votes, far beyond GOP's 53 seats. Shifts could arise from major scandal, leaks, or bipartisan backlash over military actions.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$156,582
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth facing impeachment by June 30, driven by Republican House majority (219-212) blocking Democratic articles of impeachment filed April 15 under H.Res. 935, which accused him of abuse of power and unauthorized Iran strikes. No floor vote has advanced amid partisan divides, with only six weeks left before resolution. Hegseth's recent May 12 testimonies before House and Senate Appropriations committees defending the $1.5 trillion FY2027 defense budget and Iran ceasefire underscore business-as-usual operations without impeachment momentum. Senate conviction would require 67 votes, far beyond GOP's 53 seats. Shifts could arise from major scandal, leaks, or bipartisan backlash over military actions.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$156,582
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Pete Hegseth会在6月30日前被弹劾吗?",概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 5¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 5%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?"已产生 $156.6K 的总交易量(自Apr 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?"的当前领先者是"Pete Hegseth会在6月30日前被弹劾吗?",仅有 5%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"Pete Hegseth在6月30日之前被弹劾?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。