**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's steady posting cadence through the first six days of the window, with observed daily volumes clustering around 45–50 posts and keeping the projected total squarely between 300 and 339.** Recent activity on X—spanning AI developments, demographic concerns, and quick replies—has reinforced this range, while the absence of major platform controversies or business announcements has limited spikes above 50 daily. The tight split between the 300-319 and 320-339 brackets reflects uncertainty over the final August 25 close, where even modest changes in engagement could shift the outcome by 20–30 tweets. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates with news cycles but rarely stays below 40 posts per day during active periods, supporting the market's narrow focus on these two adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于300-319 39.0%
320-339 37.4%
340-359 13.7%
360-379 3.7%
$3,539,024 交易量
$3,539,024 交易量
2026-08-25
280-299
3%
300-319
39%
320-339
37%
340-359
14%
360-379
4%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
300-319 39.0%
320-339 37.4%
340-359 13.7%
360-379 3.7%
$3,539,024 交易量
$3,539,024 交易量
2026-08-25
280-299
$256,611 交易量
3%
300-319
$164,090 交易量
39%
320-339
$124,449 交易量
37%
340-359
$154,318 交易量
14%
360-379
$155,014 交易量
4%
380-399
$167,955 交易量
1%
400-419
$219,534 交易量
<1%
420-439
$186,693 交易量
<1%
440-459
$154,488 交易量
<1%
460-479
$136,295 交易量
<1%
480-499
$125,524 交易量
<1%
500+
$213,785 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's steady posting cadence through the first six days of the window, with observed daily volumes clustering around 45–50 posts and keeping the projected total squarely between 300 and 339.**
Recent activity on X—spanning AI developments, demographic concerns, and quick replies—has reinforced this range, while the absence of major platform controversies or business announcements has limited spikes above 50 daily. The tight split between the 300-319 and 320-339 brackets reflects uncertainty over the final August 25 close, where even modest changes in engagement could shift the outcome by 20–30 tweets. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates with news cycles but rarely stays below 40 posts per day during active periods, supporting the market's narrow focus on these two adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$3,539,024结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's steady posting cadence through the first six days of the window, with observed daily volumes clustering around 45–50 posts and keeping the projected total squarely between 300 and 339.**
Recent activity on X—spanning AI developments, demographic concerns, and quick replies—has reinforced this range, while the absence of major platform controversies or business announcements has limited spikes above 50 daily. The tight split between the 300-319 and 320-339 brackets reflects uncertainty over the final August 25 close, where even modest changes in engagement could shift the outcome by 20–30 tweets. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates with news cycles but rarely stays below 40 posts per day during active periods, supporting the market's narrow focus on these two adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,539,024结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's steady posting cadence through the first six days of the window, with observed daily volumes clustering around 45–50 posts and keeping the projected total squarely between 300 and 339.** Recent activity on X—spanning AI developments, demographic concerns, and quick replies—has reinforced this range, while the absence of major platform controversies or business announcements has limited spikes above 50 daily. The tight split between the 300-319 and 320-339 brackets reflects uncertainty over the final August 25 close, where even modest changes in engagement could shift the outcome by 20–30 tweets. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates with news cycles but rarely stays below 40 posts per day during active periods, supporting the market's narrow focus on these two adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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