Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Who will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$162,246 交易量
John Brennan
32%
James Clapper
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
21%
Brandon Johnson
16%
Tom Homan
17%
Mahmoud Khalil
27%
Letitia James
25%
Loretta Lynch
15%
James Comey
14%
Anthony Fauci
14%
Susan Rice
28%
Adam Schiff
10%
Gavin Newsom
7%
John Kerry
7%
Candace Owens
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
12%
Kash Patel
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Lisa Cook
6%
Lee Jun-seok
19%
Pam Bondi
4%
Joe Biden
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
2%
$162,246 交易量
John Brennan
$7,086 交易量
32%
James Clapper
$2,674 交易量
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$9,857 交易量
21%
Brandon Johnson
$2,920 交易量
16%
Tom Homan
$31,219 交易量
17%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,223 交易量
27%
Letitia James
$1,340 交易量
25%
Loretta Lynch
$2,139 交易量
15%
James Comey
$9,274 交易量
14%
Anthony Fauci
$14,486 交易量
14%
Susan Rice
$282 交易量
28%
Adam Schiff
$12,185 交易量
10%
Gavin Newsom
$26,721 交易量
7%
John Kerry
$185 交易量
7%
Candace Owens
$257 交易量
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$310 交易量
12%
Kash Patel
$213 交易量
6%
Hillary Clinton
$16,207 交易量
6%
Lisa Cook
$660 交易量
6%
Lee Jun-seok
$555 交易量
19%
Pam Bondi
$1,551 交易量
4%
Joe Biden
$2,094 交易量
3%
Bill Clinton
$558 交易量
3%
Barack Obama
$18,251 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$162,246市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$162,246市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题