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icon for 谁将在2027年之前被捕?

谁将在2027年之前被捕?

icon for 谁将在2027年之前被捕?

谁将在2027年之前被捕?

$356,895 交易量

Polymarket

$356,895 交易量

Polymarket

安东尼·福奇

$128,133 交易量

12%

约翰·布伦南

$18,168 交易量

29%

何塞·路易斯·罗德里格斯·萨帕特罗

$21,493 交易量

21%

亚当·希夫

$16,394 交易量

3%

巴拉克·奥巴马

$28,484 交易量

1%

詹姆斯·科米

$9,601 交易量

8%

马哈茂德·哈利勒

$1,278 交易量

28%

詹姆斯·克拉珀

$6,706 交易量

13%

莱蒂蒂娅·詹姆斯

$2,821 交易量

13%

希拉里·克林顿

$25,009 交易量

3%

比尔·克林顿

$2,008 交易量

3%

洛雷塔·林奇

$2,376 交易量

9%

苏珊·赖斯

$304 交易量

9%

坎迪斯·欧文斯

$263 交易量

6%

加文·纽森

$37,141 交易量

3%

本雅明·内塔尼亚胡

$1,789 交易量

5%

约翰·克里

$346 交易量

3%

Pam Bondi

$1,898 交易量

3%

托姆·霍曼

$39,428 交易量

11%

卡什·帕特尔

$530 交易量

3%

布兰登·约翰逊

$3,174 交易量

12%

丽莎·库克

$3,218 交易量

10%

李俊锡

$794 交易量

11%

乔·拜登

$5,538 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High-profile arrests before 2027 hinge on active U.S. investigations, international warrants, and enforcement priorities under the current administration. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing DOJ scrutiny of figures such as Anthony Fauci amid congressional probes and potential charges tied to prior public health policies, alongside ICC actions against Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes in Gaza. Recent developments include expanded ICE operations yielding thousands of immigrant arrests and domestic crackdowns in conflict zones like Iran, where reformist politicians face detention. Key upcoming factors include court rulings, Senate confirmations, and any new indictments or extradition developments that could accelerate timelines for specific individuals versus broader enforcement trends.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$356,895
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High-profile arrests before 2027 hinge on active U.S. investigations, international warrants, and enforcement priorities under the current administration. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing DOJ scrutiny of figures such as Anthony Fauci amid congressional probes and potential charges tied to prior public health policies, alongside ICC actions against Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes in Gaza. Recent developments include expanded ICE operations yielding thousands of immigrant arrests and domestic crackdowns in conflict zones like Iran, where reformist politicians face detention. Key upcoming factors include court rulings, Senate confirmations, and any new indictments or extradition developments that could accelerate timelines for specific individuals versus broader enforcement trends.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$356,895
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2027年之前被捕?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"约翰·布伦南",概率为 28%,其次是"马哈茂德·哈利勒",概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在2027年之前被捕?"已产生 $356.9K 的总交易量(自Apr 30, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2027年之前被捕?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2027年之前被捕?"的当前领先者是"约翰·布伦南",概率为 28%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"马哈茂德·哈利勒",概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2027年之前被捕?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。