Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.7% implied probability that President Trump will not publicly insult Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by the May 15 deadline, reflecting the absence of any derogatory statements in the past 30 days amid stabilizing U.S.-Saudi diplomacy during the Iran war. Earlier tensions peaked in late March and April 2026, when Trump made crude boasts about MBS during investment forums and press events, prompting Saudi threats to curb U.S. arms purchases, but recent comments from Trump have praised Saudi cooperation on oil stability and military support. The duo's historical rapport—evident in Trump's post-Khashoggi defense of MBS—reinforces this positioning. With hours remaining, a last-minute tweet, escalation in Gulf tensions, or oil price dispute could prompt an unforeseen barb, though such risks appear minimal given ongoing bilateral talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,794 交易量
$24,794 交易量
2026-05-15
$24,794 交易量
$24,794 交易量
2026-05-15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.7% implied probability that President Trump will not publicly insult Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by the May 15 deadline, reflecting the absence of any derogatory statements in the past 30 days amid stabilizing U.S.-Saudi diplomacy during the Iran war. Earlier tensions peaked in late March and April 2026, when Trump made crude boasts about MBS during investment forums and press events, prompting Saudi threats to curb U.S. arms purchases, but recent comments from Trump have praised Saudi cooperation on oil stability and military support. The duo's historical rapport—evident in Trump's post-Khashoggi defense of MBS—reinforces this positioning. With hours remaining, a last-minute tweet, escalation in Gulf tensions, or oil price dispute could prompt an unforeseen barb, though such risks appear minimal given ongoing bilateral talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
交易量
$24,794结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.7% implied probability that President Trump will not publicly insult Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by the May 15 deadline, reflecting the absence of any derogatory statements in the past 30 days amid stabilizing U.S.-Saudi diplomacy during the Iran war. Earlier tensions peaked in late March and April 2026, when Trump made crude boasts about MBS during investment forums and press events, prompting Saudi threats to curb U.S. arms purchases, but recent comments from Trump have praised Saudi cooperation on oil stability and military support. The duo's historical rapport—evident in Trump's post-Khashoggi defense of MBS—reinforces this positioning. With hours remaining, a last-minute tweet, escalation in Gulf tensions, or oil price dispute could prompt an unforeseen barb, though such risks appear minimal given ongoing bilateral talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$24,794结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.7% implied probability that President Trump will not publicly insult Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by the May 15 deadline, reflecting the absence of any derogatory statements in the past 30 days amid stabilizing U.S.-Saudi diplomacy during the Iran war. Earlier tensions peaked in late March and April 2026, when Trump made crude boasts about MBS during investment forums and press events, prompting Saudi threats to curb U.S. arms purchases, but recent comments from Trump have praised Saudi cooperation on oil stability and military support. The duo's historical rapport—evident in Trump's post-Khashoggi defense of MBS—reinforces this positioning. With hours remaining, a last-minute tweet, escalation in Gulf tensions, or oil price dispute could prompt an unforeseen barb, though such risks appear minimal given ongoing bilateral talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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