Brazil's status as a multiple-time World Cup champion and current top-ranked side underpins the 71.5% implied probability to top Group C, reflecting traders' emphasis on squad depth, attacking options, and historical performance in major tournaments ahead of the June 13 opener against Morocco. Morocco's 21% price draws from its 2022 semifinal run, consistent recent form, and eighth-place FIFA ranking, positioning the Atlas Lions as the clearest challenger despite the tough draw. Scotland's 7.7% share aligns with its return after a 28-year absence and qualifying results, though limited depth against elite opposition caps expectations. Haiti's sub-1% probability stems from its 83rd ranking and resource gaps in a group where the top two advance. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these relative strengths as the June 13-24 group stage begins.