Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Round of 32 71%
Round of 16 12%
Quarterfinals 9%
Semifinals 3.5%
$158,710 交易量
$158,710 交易量
2026-07-19
Round of 32
71%
Round of 16
12%
Quarterfinals
9%
Semifinals
4%
Final
2%
Champion
1%
Round of 32 71%
Round of 16 12%
Quarterfinals 9%
Semifinals 3.5%
$158,710 交易量
$158,710 交易量
2026-07-19
Round of 32
$45,614 交易量
71%
Round of 16
$24,588 交易量
12%
Quarterfinals
$20,907 交易量
9%
Semifinals
$21,708 交易量
4%
Final
$13,343 交易量
2%
Champion
$14,005 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
交易量
$158,710结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$158,710结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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