Argentina enters the 2026 World Cup as defending champions with Lionel Messi as the clear designated penalty taker, fresh off converting a spot-kick in the 70th minute of a 3-0 friendly win over Iceland on June 9-10. Messi, returning from minor hamstring fatigue sustained with Inter Miami in late May, showed no lingering effects and remains the focal point of Argentina’s attack in a deep run scenario across group stage and knockout matches. Historical patterns reinforce trader positioning: Messi took all of Argentina’s open-play penalties plus shootout kicks at the 2022 World Cup, posting a high conversion rate, while the team continues to generate fouls in the box through its possession-dominant style. With the tournament opening on June 11 and Messi expected to feature extensively barring load management, the implied probability around 63.5% for two or more penalties reflects consensus on his volume of opportunities and reliability from the spot rather than any single guaranteed outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-07-20
最新
最新
2026-07-20
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina enters the 2026 World Cup as defending champions with Lionel Messi as the clear designated penalty taker, fresh off converting a spot-kick in the 70th minute of a 3-0 friendly win over Iceland on June 9-10. Messi, returning from minor hamstring fatigue sustained with Inter Miami in late May, showed no lingering effects and remains the focal point of Argentina’s attack in a deep run scenario across group stage and knockout matches. Historical patterns reinforce trader positioning: Messi took all of Argentina’s open-play penalties plus shootout kicks at the 2022 World Cup, posting a high conversion rate, while the team continues to generate fouls in the box through its possession-dominant style. With the tournament opening on June 11 and Messi expected to feature extensively barring load management, the implied probability around 63.5% for two or more penalties reflects consensus on his volume of opportunities and reliability from the spot rather than any single guaranteed outcome.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,137结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina enters the 2026 World Cup as defending champions with Lionel Messi as the clear designated penalty taker, fresh off converting a spot-kick in the 70th minute of a 3-0 friendly win over Iceland on June 9-10. Messi, returning from minor hamstring fatigue sustained with Inter Miami in late May, showed no lingering effects and remains the focal point of Argentina’s attack in a deep run scenario across group stage and knockout matches. Historical patterns reinforce trader positioning: Messi took all of Argentina’s open-play penalties plus shootout kicks at the 2022 World Cup, posting a high conversion rate, while the team continues to generate fouls in the box through its possession-dominant style. With the tournament opening on June 11 and Messi expected to feature extensively barring load management, the implied probability around 63.5% for two or more penalties reflects consensus on his volume of opportunities and reliability from the spot rather than any single guaranteed outcome.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,139结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Argentina enters the 2026 World Cup as defending champions with Lionel Messi as the clear designated penalty taker, fresh off converting a spot-kick in the 70th minute of a 3-0 friendly win over Iceland on June 9-10. Messi, returning from minor hamstring fatigue sustained with Inter Miami in late May, showed no lingering effects and remains the focal point of Argentina’s attack in a deep run scenario across group stage and knockout matches. Historical patterns reinforce trader positioning: Messi took all of Argentina’s open-play penalties plus shootout kicks at the 2022 World Cup, posting a high conversion rate, while the team continues to generate fouls in the box through its possession-dominant style. With the tournament opening on June 11 and Messi expected to feature extensively barring load management, the implied probability around 63.5% for two or more penalties reflects consensus on his volume of opportunities and reliability from the spot rather than any single guaranteed outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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