Qatar's assignment to Group B alongside Switzerland, Canada, and Bosnia and Herzegovina stands as the dominant factor behind the 82% implied probability of a group-stage exit on prediction markets. The squad, built primarily around domestic talent and featuring forwards like Almoez Ali, enters the expanded 48-team tournament with limited depth and recent qualifying results that include a 3-0 loss to Uzbekistan alongside narrow wins over Iran and the UAE to secure qualification. Trader consensus reflects these realities, assigning just 11.5% to a Round of 32 finish and single-digit figures to deeper runs, consistent with Qatar's 2022 group-stage exit as hosts and their status as rank outsiders in pre-tournament assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Group Stage 82%
Round of 32 12%
Round of 16 5.9%
Quarterfinals 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
Group Stage
82%
Round of 32
12%
Round of 16
6%
Quarterfinals
2%
Final
1%
Semifinals
1%
Champion
1%
Group Stage 82%
Round of 32 12%
Round of 16 5.9%
Quarterfinals 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
Group Stage
$139 交易量
82%
Round of 32
$10 交易量
12%
Round of 16
$86 交易量
6%
Quarterfinals
$106 交易量
2%
Final
$153 交易量
1%
Semifinals
$116 交易量
1%
Champion
$1,562 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Qatar is eliminated. If Qatar wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Qatar is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Qatar based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Qatar's assignment to Group B alongside Switzerland, Canada, and Bosnia and Herzegovina stands as the dominant factor behind the 82% implied probability of a group-stage exit on prediction markets. The squad, built primarily around domestic talent and featuring forwards like Almoez Ali, enters the expanded 48-team tournament with limited depth and recent qualifying results that include a 3-0 loss to Uzbekistan alongside narrow wins over Iran and the UAE to secure qualification. Trader consensus reflects these realities, assigning just 11.5% to a Round of 32 finish and single-digit figures to deeper runs, consistent with Qatar's 2022 group-stage exit as hosts and their status as rank outsiders in pre-tournament assessments.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Qatar is eliminated. If Qatar wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Qatar is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Qatar based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Qatar is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Qatar based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 7, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$2,172结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Qatar is eliminated. If Qatar wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Qatar is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Qatar based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Qatar's assignment to Group B alongside Switzerland, Canada, and Bosnia and Herzegovina stands as the dominant factor behind the 82% implied probability of a group-stage exit on prediction markets. The squad, built primarily around domestic talent and featuring forwards like Almoez Ali, enters the expanded 48-team tournament with limited depth and recent qualifying results that include a 3-0 loss to Uzbekistan alongside narrow wins over Iran and the UAE to secure qualification. Trader consensus reflects these realities, assigning just 11.5% to a Round of 32 finish and single-digit figures to deeper runs, consistent with Qatar's 2022 group-stage exit as hosts and their status as rank outsiders in pre-tournament assessments.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Qatar is eliminated. If Qatar wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Qatar is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Qatar based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Qatar is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Qatar based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,172结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Qatar's assignment to Group B alongside Switzerland, Canada, and Bosnia and Herzegovina stands as the dominant factor behind the 82% implied probability of a group-stage exit on prediction markets. The squad, built primarily around domestic talent and featuring forwards like Almoez Ali, enters the expanded 48-team tournament with limited depth and recent qualifying results that include a 3-0 loss to Uzbekistan alongside narrow wins over Iran and the UAE to secure qualification. Trader consensus reflects these realities, assigning just 11.5% to a Round of 32 finish and single-digit figures to deeper runs, consistent with Qatar's 2022 group-stage exit as hosts and their status as rank outsiders in pre-tournament assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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