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体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段

icon for 世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段
体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段

$1,506,559 交易量

2026-06-28
Polymarket

$1,506,559 交易量

Polymarket

Spain

$40,140 交易量

98%

Brazil

$33,847 交易量

98%

England

$18,302 交易量

97%

France

$46,690 交易量

97%

Portugal

$24,125 交易量

97%

Germany

$18,858 交易量

96%

Argentina

$18,014 交易量

96%

Belgium

$15,627 交易量

96%

Switzerland

$69,170 交易量

94%

Mexico

$25,198 交易量

92%

Netherlands

$18,409 交易量

92%

Colombia

$15,577 交易量

90%

Ecuador

$9,809 交易量

89%

Uruguay

$10,430 交易量

88%

Morocco

$18,598 交易量

87%

Canada

$28,070 交易量

86%

Norway

$73,376 交易量

86%

USA

$34,189 交易量

84%

Croatia

$47,944 交易量

82%

Austria

$21,477 交易量

81%

Turkiye

$16,995 交易量

80%

Ivory Coast

$7,942 交易量

80%

Japan

$8,902 交易量

79%

Egypt

$3,643 交易量

72%

Senegal

$47,751 交易量

71%

South Korea

$6,813 交易量

70%

Czechia

$2,540 交易量

70%

Scotland

$44,779 交易量

70%

Algeria

$9,453 交易量

66%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$16,844 交易量

65%

Paraguay

$19,881 交易量

64%

Sweden

$11,699 交易量

63%

Iran

$11,691 交易量

61%

Ghana

$68,723 交易量

51%

Australia

$21,330 交易量

46%

DR Congo

$14,597 交易量

44%

South Africa

$8,015 交易量

39%

Tunisia

$41,692 交易量

38%

Saudi Arabia

$80,261 交易量

37%

Panama

$31,869 交易量

35%

Uzbekistan

$18,597 交易量

32%

New Zealand

$70,255 交易量

31%

Cape Verde

$10,647 交易量

31%

Qatar

$59,532 交易量

21%

Jordan

$43,322 交易量

20%

Iraq

$168,812 交易量

15%

Haiti

$53,357 交易量

13%

Curacao

$21,576 交易量

8%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups of four, shapes advancement probabilities as the top two sides per group plus the eight strongest third-place finishers reach the Round of 32. Groups were finalized after December 2025 draw and March 2026 playoffs, setting matchups that reward consistent results across three fixtures. Opening matches on June 11, including Mexico versus South Africa, launch the group stage where points, goal difference, and goals scored serve as primary tiebreakers. Squad depth, historical group-stage performance, and travel across host nations factor into trader assessments of which teams secure progression amid the larger field.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,506,559
结束日期
2026-06-28
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups of four, shapes advancement probabilities as the top two sides per group plus the eight strongest third-place finishers reach the Round of 32. Groups were finalized after December 2025 draw and March 2026 playoffs, setting matchups that reward consistent results across three fixtures. Opening matches on June 11, including Mexico versus South Africa, launch the group stage where points, goal difference, and goals scored serve as primary tiebreakers. Squad depth, historical group-stage performance, and travel across host nations factor into trader assessments of which teams secure progression amid the larger field.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,506,559
结束日期
2026-06-28
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 48+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Spain"，概率为 98%，其次是"Brazil"，概率为 98%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段"已产生 $1.5 million 的总交易量（自Apr 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 48+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段"的当前领先者是"Spain"，概率为 98%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"Brazil"，概率为 98%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"世界杯：球队晋级淘汰赛阶段"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。