The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 Vol.
75%
Republican Party
$1,195 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,810শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$6,810শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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