The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
35%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$165 Vol.
78%
Republican Party
$296 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
ভলিউম
$460শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$460শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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