Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike to 2.25% at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting surging Eurozone headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March and well above the 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. April 30 ECB decision held rates steady at 2.00% amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%, fueling stagflation concerns, while a May 13 Reuters poll showed 85% of economists forecasting the June increase. No-change odds at 18.6% capture lingering growth worries, with cuts near zero amid upward inflation revisions; watch May CPI flash on May 30 for potential shifts ahead of the June 12 policy announcement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড25 bps Increase 82%
No change 18.4%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$238,353 Vol.
$238,353 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
18%
25 bps Increase
82%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps Increase 82%
No change 18.4%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$238,353 Vol.
$238,353 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$46,906 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$40,730 Vol.
<1%
No change
$49,047 Vol.
18%
25 bps Increase
$54,992 Vol.
82%
50+ bps increase
$46,678 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike to 2.25% at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting surging Eurozone headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March and well above the 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. April 30 ECB decision held rates steady at 2.00% amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%, fueling stagflation concerns, while a May 13 Reuters poll showed 85% of economists forecasting the June increase. No-change odds at 18.6% capture lingering growth worries, with cuts near zero amid upward inflation revisions; watch May CPI flash on May 30 for potential shifts ahead of the June 12 policy announcement.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$238,353শেষ তারিখ
Jun 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike to 2.25% at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting surging Eurozone headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March and well above the 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. April 30 ECB decision held rates steady at 2.00% amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%, fueling stagflation concerns, while a May 13 Reuters poll showed 85% of economists forecasting the June increase. No-change odds at 18.6% capture lingering growth worries, with cuts near zero amid upward inflation revisions; watch May CPI flash on May 30 for potential shifts ahead of the June 12 policy announcement.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ভলিউম
$238,353শেষ তারিখ
Jun 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike to 2.25% at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting surging Eurozone headline inflation to 3.0% in April—up from 2.6% in March and well above the 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. April 30 ECB decision held rates steady at 2.00% amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%, fueling stagflation concerns, while a May 13 Reuters poll showed 85% of economists forecasting the June increase. No-change odds at 18.6% capture lingering growth worries, with cuts near zero amid upward inflation revisions; watch May CPI flash on May 30 for potential shifts ahead of the June 12 policy announcement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা