Recent Bank of Japan communications have reinforced expectations for a 25 basis point policy rate increase to 1.00 percent at the June 16 meeting. The April 28 decision to hold rates at 0.75 percent passed on a split 6-3 vote, with three members dissenting in favor of an immediate hike amid upgraded core inflation forecasts to 2.8 percent for fiscal 2026. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy price risks, while the yen remains under pressure near 157 against the dollar. A Reuters poll of economists released May 15 showed 65 percent anticipating the move by end-June, aligning closely with current market-implied odds that price in strong trader consensus for gradual normalization. Growth projections were trimmed to 0.5 percent, introducing some caution, yet the data-dependent path continues to favor tightening over status quo.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 20%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
Decrease rates <1%
$114,992 Vol.
$114,992 Vol.
Decrease rates
1%
No change
20%
25 bps increase
80%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 20%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
Decrease rates <1%
$114,992 Vol.
$114,992 Vol.
Decrease rates
1%
No change
20%
25 bps increase
80%
50+ bps increase
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Japan communications have reinforced expectations for a 25 basis point policy rate increase to 1.00 percent at the June 16 meeting. The April 28 decision to hold rates at 0.75 percent passed on a split 6-3 vote, with three members dissenting in favor of an immediate hike amid upgraded core inflation forecasts to 2.8 percent for fiscal 2026. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy price risks, while the yen remains under pressure near 157 against the dollar. A Reuters poll of economists released May 15 showed 65 percent anticipating the move by end-June, aligning closely with current market-implied odds that price in strong trader consensus for gradual normalization. Growth projections were trimmed to 0.5 percent, introducing some caution, yet the data-dependent path continues to favor tightening over status quo.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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