The Bank of Japan’s April 2026 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent despite a 6-3 split, with three members favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, continues to anchor trader expectations for the July meeting. Upward revisions to the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, driven by energy-price pressures from the Iran conflict, have reinforced gradual normalization views while tempering near-term aggressive moves. A mid-May Reuters poll showing 65 percent of economists expecting a June increase to 1.0 percent supports the current 59 percent market-implied odds of no change in July, as that path would likely leave room for a measured adjustment. Lingering uncertainty over global growth, wage trends, and volatility from the Middle East keeps a 40.5 percent probability attached to a further 25-basis-point rise priced in as a plausible alternative outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo change 59%
25 bps increase 32%
50+ bps increase 5%
50+ bps decrease 1.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 31, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
59%
25 bps increase
41%
50+ bps increase
5%
No change 59%
25 bps increase 32%
50+ bps increase 5%
50+ bps decrease 1.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 31, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$447 Vol.
2%
25 bps decrease
$307 Vol.
1%
No change
$20 Vol.
59%
25 bps increase
$86 Vol.
41%
50+ bps increase
$61 Vol.
5%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April 2026 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent despite a 6-3 split, with three members favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, continues to anchor trader expectations for the July meeting. Upward revisions to the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, driven by energy-price pressures from the Iran conflict, have reinforced gradual normalization views while tempering near-term aggressive moves. A mid-May Reuters poll showing 65 percent of economists expecting a June increase to 1.0 percent supports the current 59 percent market-implied odds of no change in July, as that path would likely leave room for a measured adjustment. Lingering uncertainty over global growth, wage trends, and volatility from the Middle East keeps a 40.5 percent probability attached to a further 25-basis-point rise priced in as a plausible alternative outcome.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 28, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$921শেষ তারিখ
Jul 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April 2026 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent despite a 6-3 split, with three members favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, continues to anchor trader expectations for the July meeting. Upward revisions to the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, driven by energy-price pressures from the Iran conflict, have reinforced gradual normalization views while tempering near-term aggressive moves. A mid-May Reuters poll showing 65 percent of economists expecting a June increase to 1.0 percent supports the current 59 percent market-implied odds of no change in July, as that path would likely leave room for a measured adjustment. Lingering uncertainty over global growth, wage trends, and volatility from the Middle East keeps a 40.5 percent probability attached to a further 25-basis-point rise priced in as a plausible alternative outcome.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$921শেষ তারিখ
Jul 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan’s April 2026 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent despite a 6-3 split, with three members favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, continues to anchor trader expectations for the July meeting. Upward revisions to the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, driven by energy-price pressures from the Iran conflict, have reinforced gradual normalization views while tempering near-term aggressive moves. A mid-May Reuters poll showing 65 percent of economists expecting a June increase to 1.0 percent supports the current 59 percent market-implied odds of no change in July, as that path would likely leave room for a measured adjustment. Lingering uncertainty over global growth, wage trends, and volatility from the Middle East keeps a 40.5 percent probability attached to a further 25-basis-point rise priced in as a plausible alternative outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা