Surging Eurozone inflation, driven by energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has positioned a 25-basis-point ECB deposit facility rate hike as the dominant market-implied outcome at 86.5% for the June 11, 2026, meeting. April HICP rose to 3.0%, well above the 2% target and the highest level since 2023, prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for tightening after holding rates steady at 2.00% on April 30. Recent Reuters and Bloomberg surveys show economists now anticipate quarter-point increases in both June and September, with trader consensus reflecting these revised inflation trajectories and reduced odds of further easing. Weak Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution, keeping no-change pricing at 12.8%, while upcoming May CPI data and the June policy statement remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the market-implied rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড25 bps Increase 87%
No change 12.8%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$280,702 Vol.
$280,702 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
13%
25 bps Increase
87%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps Increase 87%
No change 12.8%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$280,702 Vol.
$280,702 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$57,039 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$46,070 Vol.
<1%
No change
$52,213 Vol.
13%
25 bps Increase
$72,144 Vol.
87%
50+ bps increase
$53,237 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Surging Eurozone inflation, driven by energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has positioned a 25-basis-point ECB deposit facility rate hike as the dominant market-implied outcome at 86.5% for the June 11, 2026, meeting. April HICP rose to 3.0%, well above the 2% target and the highest level since 2023, prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for tightening after holding rates steady at 2.00% on April 30. Recent Reuters and Bloomberg surveys show economists now anticipate quarter-point increases in both June and September, with trader consensus reflecting these revised inflation trajectories and reduced odds of further easing. Weak Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution, keeping no-change pricing at 12.8%, while upcoming May CPI data and the June policy statement remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$280,702শেষ তারিখ
Jun 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Surging Eurozone inflation, driven by energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has positioned a 25-basis-point ECB deposit facility rate hike as the dominant market-implied outcome at 86.5% for the June 11, 2026, meeting. April HICP rose to 3.0%, well above the 2% target and the highest level since 2023, prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for tightening after holding rates steady at 2.00% on April 30. Recent Reuters and Bloomberg surveys show economists now anticipate quarter-point increases in both June and September, with trader consensus reflecting these revised inflation trajectories and reduced odds of further easing. Weak Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution, keeping no-change pricing at 12.8%, while upcoming May CPI data and the June policy statement remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ভলিউম
$280,702শেষ তারিখ
Jun 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Surging Eurozone inflation, driven by energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has positioned a 25-basis-point ECB deposit facility rate hike as the dominant market-implied outcome at 86.5% for the June 11, 2026, meeting. April HICP rose to 3.0%, well above the 2% target and the highest level since 2023, prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for tightening after holding rates steady at 2.00% on April 30. Recent Reuters and Bloomberg surveys show economists now anticipate quarter-point increases in both June and September, with trader consensus reflecting these revised inflation trajectories and reduced odds of further easing. Weak Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution, keeping no-change pricing at 12.8%, while upcoming May CPI data and the June policy statement remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the market-implied rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা