With the May 15–22 window now underway, Polymarket traders are anchoring on Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence, where the 180-199 tweet range leads at 19.5% implied probability because it matches his typical weekly output during periods without major product launches or public controversies. The tight clustering across neighboring bands reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether routine business commentary, Tesla or SpaceX updates, or personal reflections will push volume higher or lower in the remaining days. Historical patterns show Musk’s activity can surge with breaking industry news or dip during focused travel, leaving the market sensitive to any late-week catalyst before resolution on May 22.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড180-199 20%
200-219 18.2%
160-179 16%
220-239 11.8%
$4,091,061 Vol.
$4,091,061 Vol.
May 22, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
11%
160-179
16%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
200-219 18.2%
160-179 16%
220-239 11.8%
$4,091,061 Vol.
$4,091,061 Vol.
May 22, 2026
40-59
$184,914 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$253,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$241,528 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$223,098 Vol.
1%
120-139
$169,507 Vol.
3%
140-159
$151,005 Vol.
11%
160-179
$125,485 Vol.
16%
180-199
$108,572 Vol.
20%
200-219
$149,749 Vol.
18%
220-239
$140,226 Vol.
12%
240-259
$105,114 Vol.
8%
260-279
$112,029 Vol.
5%
280-299
$102,113 Vol.
3%
300-319
$130,024 Vol.
2%
320-339
$105,561 Vol.
1%
340-359
$135,041 Vol.
1%
360-379
$133,946 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$148,578 Vol.
1%
400-419
$167,053 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$219,866 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$120,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$163,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$263,921 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With the May 15–22 window now underway, Polymarket traders are anchoring on Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence, where the 180-199 tweet range leads at 19.5% implied probability because it matches his typical weekly output during periods without major product launches or public controversies. The tight clustering across neighboring bands reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether routine business commentary, Tesla or SpaceX updates, or personal reflections will push volume higher or lower in the remaining days. Historical patterns show Musk’s activity can surge with breaking industry news or dip during focused travel, leaving the market sensitive to any late-week catalyst before resolution on May 22.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,091,061শেষ তারিখ
May 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With the May 15–22 window now underway, Polymarket traders are anchoring on Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence, where the 180-199 tweet range leads at 19.5% implied probability because it matches his typical weekly output during periods without major product launches or public controversies. The tight clustering across neighboring bands reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether routine business commentary, Tesla or SpaceX updates, or personal reflections will push volume higher or lower in the remaining days. Historical patterns show Musk’s activity can surge with breaking industry news or dip during focused travel, leaving the market sensitive to any late-week catalyst before resolution on May 22.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$4,091,061শেষ তারিখ
May 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the May 15–22 window now underway, Polymarket traders are anchoring on Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence, where the 180-199 tweet range leads at 19.5% implied probability because it matches his typical weekly output during periods without major product launches or public controversies. The tight clustering across neighboring bands reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether routine business commentary, Tesla or SpaceX updates, or personal reflections will push volume higher or lower in the remaining days. Historical patterns show Musk’s activity can surge with breaking industry news or dip during focused travel, leaving the market sensitive to any late-week catalyst before resolution on May 22.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা