Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড40-64 62%
65-89 33%
90-114 4.9%
<40 1.6%
$447,913 Vol.
$447,913 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
62%
65-89
33%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 62%
65-89 33%
90-114 4.9%
<40 1.6%
$447,913 Vol.
$447,913 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$92,250 Vol.
2%
40-64
$35,363 Vol.
62%
65-89
$44,670 Vol.
33%
90-114
$65,079 Vol.
5%
115-139
$43,125 Vol.
1%
140-164
$47,592 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$447,913শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$447,913শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা