Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to no change at the Federal Reserve’s July 28-29 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s data-dependent stance amid sticky inflation. The April 2026 CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, the highest reading since May 2023, driven largely by a 17.9% surge in energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. This has reinforced expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the April FOMC decision and recent communications emphasizing uncertainty in the price path and labor market. Key upcoming catalysts include June inflation and employment data, which could shift odds if disinflation accelerates or if growth slows enough to prompt easing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডপরিবর্তন নেই 94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 4.0%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 2.6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$5,616,920 Vol.
$5,616,920 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
3%
পরিবর্তন নেই
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
<1%
পরিবর্তন নেই 94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 4.0%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 2.6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$5,616,920 Vol.
$5,616,920 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$557,074 Vol.
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$430,717 Vol.
3%
পরিবর্তন নেই
$665,333 Vol.
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$3,410,620 Vol.
4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$553,176 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to no change at the Federal Reserve’s July 28-29 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s data-dependent stance amid sticky inflation. The April 2026 CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, the highest reading since May 2023, driven largely by a 17.9% surge in energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. This has reinforced expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the April FOMC decision and recent communications emphasizing uncertainty in the price path and labor market. Key upcoming catalysts include June inflation and employment data, which could shift odds if disinflation accelerates or if growth slows enough to prompt easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$5,616,920শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to no change at the Federal Reserve’s July 28-29 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s data-dependent stance amid sticky inflation. The April 2026 CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, the highest reading since May 2023, driven largely by a 17.9% surge in energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. This has reinforced expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the April FOMC decision and recent communications emphasizing uncertainty in the price path and labor market. Key upcoming catalysts include June inflation and employment data, which could shift odds if disinflation accelerates or if growth slows enough to prompt easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$5,616,920শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to no change at the Federal Reserve’s July 28-29 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s data-dependent stance amid sticky inflation. The April 2026 CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, the highest reading since May 2023, driven largely by a 17.9% surge in energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. This has reinforced expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the April FOMC decision and recent communications emphasizing uncertainty in the price path and labor market. Key upcoming catalysts include June inflation and employment data, which could shift odds if disinflation accelerates or if growth slows enough to prompt easing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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