Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, has produced the tightest polling among the three races, with Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by low single digits in recent September surveys from Emerson, co/efficient, and others. This positioning drives trader consensus that Iowa represents the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains contest. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces a persistent challenge from independent Dan Osborn, whose strong 2024 performance and current near-ties in polls sustain its second-place standing. Kansas remains the clearest Republican hold, where Roger Marshall holds consistent leads over Democrat Adam Hamilton in late-summer and early-fall polling, though modest narrowing has kept the race on the board. Upcoming debates and final-quarter spending patterns could still shift relative margins before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIowa 43%
Nebraska 35%
Kansas 24%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Iowa
46%
Nebraska
35%
Kansas
26%
Iowa 43%
Nebraska 35%
Kansas 24%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Iowa
$411 Vol.
46%
Nebraska
$150 Vol.
35%
Kansas
$103 Vol.
26%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, has produced the tightest polling among the three races, with Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by low single digits in recent September surveys from Emerson, co/efficient, and others. This positioning drives trader consensus that Iowa represents the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains contest. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces a persistent challenge from independent Dan Osborn, whose strong 2024 performance and current near-ties in polls sustain its second-place standing. Kansas remains the clearest Republican hold, where Roger Marshall holds consistent leads over Democrat Adam Hamilton in late-summer and early-fall polling, though modest narrowing has kept the race on the board. Upcoming debates and final-quarter spending patterns could still shift relative margins before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
ভলিউম
$664শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, has produced the tightest polling among the three races, with Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by low single digits in recent September surveys from Emerson, co/efficient, and others. This positioning drives trader consensus that Iowa represents the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains contest. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces a persistent challenge from independent Dan Osborn, whose strong 2024 performance and current near-ties in polls sustain its second-place standing. Kansas remains the clearest Republican hold, where Roger Marshall holds consistent leads over Democrat Adam Hamilton in late-summer and early-fall polling, though modest narrowing has kept the race on the board. Upcoming debates and final-quarter spending patterns could still shift relative margins before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$664শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, has produced the tightest polling among the three races, with Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek separated by low single digits in recent September surveys from Emerson, co/efficient, and others. This positioning drives trader consensus that Iowa represents the GOP's most vulnerable Great Plains contest. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces a persistent challenge from independent Dan Osborn, whose strong 2024 performance and current near-ties in polls sustain its second-place standing. Kansas remains the clearest Republican hold, where Roger Marshall holds consistent leads over Democrat Adam Hamilton in late-summer and early-fall polling, though modest narrowing has kept the race on the board. Upcoming debates and final-quarter spending patterns could still shift relative margins before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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