Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial has sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time, now at 79.5% implied probability. The hung jury on May 15, following nine-to-three deadlock, leaves the 74-year-old producer facing only his upheld 2025 sexual-assault conviction and an appealed 16-year California sentence. Ongoing appeals, potential plea negotiations, and the fact he has already served nearly six years at Rikers reinforce the market’s view that further significant incarceration is unlikely. Upcoming sentencing hearings and any decision on retrial remain key swing factors in this high-stakes legal saga.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
কারাদণ্ড নয় 79.6%
৫ বছরের কম 5.4%
২০-৩০ বছর 4.2%
১০-২০ বছর 2.5%
$991,132 Vol.
$991,132 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
80%
৫ বছরের কম
5%
5-10 years
2%
১০-২০ বছর
2%
২০-৩০ বছর
4%
30+ years
1%
কারাদণ্ড নয় 79.6%
৫ বছরের কম 5.4%
২০-৩০ বছর 4.2%
১০-২০ বছর 2.5%
$991,132 Vol.
$991,132 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
$348,967 Vol.
80%
৫ বছরের কম
$131,330 Vol.
5%
5-10 years
$79,813 Vol.
2%
১০-২০ বছর
$158,943 Vol.
2%
২০-৩০ বছর
$199,610 Vol.
4%
30+ years
$72,469 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial has sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time, now at 79.5% implied probability. The hung jury on May 15, following nine-to-three deadlock, leaves the 74-year-old producer facing only his upheld 2025 sexual-assault conviction and an appealed 16-year California sentence. Ongoing appeals, potential plea negotiations, and the fact he has already served nearly six years at Rikers reinforce the market’s view that further significant incarceration is unlikely. Upcoming sentencing hearings and any decision on retrial remain key swing factors in this high-stakes legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$991,132শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial has sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time, now at 79.5% implied probability. The hung jury on May 15, following nine-to-three deadlock, leaves the 74-year-old producer facing only his upheld 2025 sexual-assault conviction and an appealed 16-year California sentence. Ongoing appeals, potential plea negotiations, and the fact he has already served nearly six years at Rikers reinforce the market’s view that further significant incarceration is unlikely. Upcoming sentencing hearings and any decision on retrial remain key swing factors in this high-stakes legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$991,132শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial has sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time, now at 79.5% implied probability. The hung jury on May 15, following nine-to-three deadlock, leaves the 74-year-old producer facing only his upheld 2025 sexual-assault conviction and an appealed 16-year California sentence. Ongoing appeals, potential plea negotiations, and the fact he has already served nearly six years at Rikers reinforce the market’s view that further significant incarceration is unlikely. Upcoming sentencing hearings and any decision on retrial remain key swing factors in this high-stakes legal saga.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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