The overwhelming 92.8% market-implied odds for no additional prison time reflect trader consensus that Harvey Weinstein’s latest New York retrial ending in a May 15 mistrial after jury deadlock has effectively stalled further Manhattan prosecution, at least for now. At 73 and in declining health, the former producer already serves a 16-year California sentence under active appeal, while a June 24 hearing will determine whether prosecutors pursue a fourth trial on the remaining charge. Historical precedent shows repeated hung juries and procedural reversals in this case have eroded momentum for additional consecutive time. An upset would require prosecutors to secure a conviction on retrial that adds meaningful years, or a failed California appeal forcing the sentences to run consecutively—both viewed by traders as low-probability outcomes given the current trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
কারাদণ্ড নয় 93.0%
৫ বছরের কম 4.5%
5-10 years 1.3%
১০-২০ বছর 1.2%
$972,078 Vol.
$972,078 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
93%
৫ বছরের কম
4%
5-10 years
1%
১০-২০ বছর
1%
২০-৩০ বছর
1%
30+ years
1%
কারাদণ্ড নয় 93.0%
৫ বছরের কম 4.5%
5-10 years 1.3%
১০-২০ বছর 1.2%
$972,078 Vol.
$972,078 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
$341,556 Vol.
93%
৫ বছরের কম
$130,472 Vol.
4%
5-10 years
$78,230 Vol.
1%
১০-২০ বছর
$154,504 Vol.
1%
২০-৩০ বছর
$195,526 Vol.
1%
30+ years
$72,011 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming 92.8% market-implied odds for no additional prison time reflect trader consensus that Harvey Weinstein’s latest New York retrial ending in a May 15 mistrial after jury deadlock has effectively stalled further Manhattan prosecution, at least for now. At 73 and in declining health, the former producer already serves a 16-year California sentence under active appeal, while a June 24 hearing will determine whether prosecutors pursue a fourth trial on the remaining charge. Historical precedent shows repeated hung juries and procedural reversals in this case have eroded momentum for additional consecutive time. An upset would require prosecutors to secure a conviction on retrial that adds meaningful years, or a failed California appeal forcing the sentences to run consecutively—both viewed by traders as low-probability outcomes given the current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$972,078শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming 92.8% market-implied odds for no additional prison time reflect trader consensus that Harvey Weinstein’s latest New York retrial ending in a May 15 mistrial after jury deadlock has effectively stalled further Manhattan prosecution, at least for now. At 73 and in declining health, the former producer already serves a 16-year California sentence under active appeal, while a June 24 hearing will determine whether prosecutors pursue a fourth trial on the remaining charge. Historical precedent shows repeated hung juries and procedural reversals in this case have eroded momentum for additional consecutive time. An upset would require prosecutors to secure a conviction on retrial that adds meaningful years, or a failed California appeal forcing the sentences to run consecutively—both viewed by traders as low-probability outcomes given the current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$972,078শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The overwhelming 92.8% market-implied odds for no additional prison time reflect trader consensus that Harvey Weinstein’s latest New York retrial ending in a May 15 mistrial after jury deadlock has effectively stalled further Manhattan prosecution, at least for now. At 73 and in declining health, the former producer already serves a 16-year California sentence under active appeal, while a June 24 hearing will determine whether prosecutors pursue a fourth trial on the remaining charge. Historical precedent shows repeated hung juries and procedural reversals in this case have eroded momentum for additional consecutive time. An upset would require prosecutors to secure a conviction on retrial that adds meaningful years, or a failed California appeal forcing the sentences to run consecutively—both viewed by traders as low-probability outcomes given the current trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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